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By Bob Woodward
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, March 23, 2003; Page A01
When President Bush huddled with his senior national
security team Wednesday afternoon to consider fresh
CIA intelligence that President Saddam Hussein and other
key members of the Iraqi leadership were spending the
night at a complex in southern Baghdad, the Bush team
was aware of another, perhaps even bigger secret.
Under the official war plan, designated "OPLAN
1003 V" and approved by the president, the war
with Iraq had already begun.
A little more than two hours earlier, at 1 p.m., Washington
time, 31 Special Operations teams -- about 300 men --
began pouring under cover of darkness into western and
southern Iraq. Joining smaller contingents of U.S. Special
Forces and CIA paramilitaries already in Iraq, the special
operators fanned out to sever communications, take down
observation posts and position themselves to prevent
what the Bush administration most feared -- moves by
the Iraqi high command to use chemical or biological
weapons, attack Israel with Scud missiles or destroy
the country's oil fields.
The plan anticipated a 48-hour window for the special
operators to carry out their missions before the official
start of the war, set for 1 p.m. Friday with massive
airstrikes against Baghdad and other cities. Soon afterward,
the president was to announce the start of the air war,
and conventional ground forces were to cross the Kuwait
border into Iraq nine hours later.
Over the course of a three-hour meeting in the Oval
Office Wednesday afternoon, the president and his senior
national security advisers tore up this choreographed
opening to the war. Acting on information presented
by CIA Director George J. Tenet, the president ordered
an airstrike and cruise missile attack on the Baghdad
complex, called Dora Farm, in an attempt to kill Hussein
and other senior members of the leadership.
In addition, on Thursday, the administration decided
to move up the ground operation by 24 hours. It would
commence 15 hours before the first large-scale airstrikes
hit Iraq.
The revision of the war plan on the fly on Wednesday,
which was described by numerous well-placed government
sources, fit a pattern established in January 2002,
when Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld and U.S. Central
Command chief Gen. Tommy R. Franks began drafting the
blueprint for war.
Over the ensuing 14 months, in a series of what these
sources described as seemingly endless, often excruciating
two- to three-hour sessions in Rumsfeld's office and
in secure video conference calls between the Pentagon
and Franks's headquarters in Tampa, the Pentagon planners
came up with more than 20 versions of the plan. In all,
Bush received a dozen detailed briefings as it evolved.
The constant reshaping, questioning and tinkering by
Rumsfeld and Franks strained and nearly broke the system
of war planning, according to several senior and well-placed
sources. But the process also built in some unprecedented
flexibility and surprise, characteristics that have
defined the war's opening days.
Push and Pull
In his State of the Union address on Jan. 29, 2002,
Bush declared that Iraq was part of an "axis of
evil" -- setting the country on what, in hindsight,
seems like an inevitable course toward war.
At about the same time, as the first phase of the war
in Afghanistan was winding down following the ouster
of the Taliban militia from power, the president signed
a secret intelligence order authorizing the CIA to undertake
a comprehensive program to remove Hussein. He authorized
spending upwards of $200 million to support opposition
groups and expand intelligence collection.
The first CIA paramilitary team secretly began operating
in Iraq in June 2002 to gather intelligence and meet
with and support opposition groups. Eventually the CIA
deployed additional paramilitary teams and established
links with Iraqis throughout the country, including
Baghdad.
On a parallel track to this covert operation, Rumsfeld,
Franks and other civilian and uniformed Pentagon officials
began work on the administration's top-secret war plan.
According to various sources, when Franks first was
asked to present a concept of operations, he proposed
a large force. Rumsfeld, with the experience of the
Afghanistan war fresh in his mind, pushed for a radically
different approach that would involve a smaller ground
force and much larger participation by Special Operations
troops.
The push and pull between the two men continued over
the months that followed. The initial plan called for
14 days of airstrikes before the onset of the ground
attack. Rumsfeld pressed Franks to reduce the time between
the air and ground campaigns. Franks sought to convince
Rumsfeld of the need for a larger force.
It was slow going. In August, Bush said in an interview
that he had still not seen a military plan for Iraq
that he believed would work. "A president likes
to have a military plan that will be successful,"
Bush said.
Early in September, according to sources, Bush was
presented with a feasible, credible version of OPLAN
1003 V, the first that he truly seemed comfortable with.
But at the strong urging of Secretary of State Colin
L. Powell, the president decided to go to the United
Nations to build more international support for disarming
Iraq. Negotiations over a U.N. Security Council resolution
to give Hussein a final chance to reveal whether he
had stocks of proscribed weapons, and the U.N. inspections,
would continue for nearly six months.
This "long diplomacy," as one source called
it, gave Rumsfeld and Franks the time that in retrospect
was necessary to deploy the necessary forces in the
Persian Gulf region -- and to refine their war plan.
D-Day
By January, the time between the start of the air and
ground campaigns had narrowed to four days, a radical
departure from the Persian Gulf War in 1991, when U.S.
and allied warplanes pummeled Iraq for 38 days before
ground forces moved into Kuwait to eject the Iraqi invaders.
In late February, Franks introduced the idea of opening
the war with a large, secret deployment of Special Operations
teams in Iraq. He argued this could be done with stealth
for 48 hours before Iraq and the world realized the
United States had started the war.
According to sources, the president was initially uncomfortable
with this idea because he had said publicly that he
would announce when he had decided to go to war. But
the military advantages of the Special Operations mission
were significant enough that Bush used deliberately
vague language Monday when he delivered his ultimatum
for Hussein to leave Iraq by Wednesday. If Hussein ignored
the demand, the president said, he would commence military
action "at a time of our choosing."
The war plan the president had already set in motion
was much more specific.
The Special Operations troops would enter Iraq on D-Day,
Wednesday at 1 p.m. EST (9 p.m. in Iraq) -- seven hours
before the president's ultimatum expired. In the ensuing
48 hours, Bush and the administration would say little
about when a war was to begin, the sources said.
On Friday at 1 p.m. -- what the plan referred to as
A-Day -- Iraq would be pummeled by a massive aerial
bombardment. Nine hours later, at about dawn Saturday
morning in Iraq, the G-Day ground offensive would commence.
On Tuesday, Rumsfeld was said to be so worried that
the timetable would leak that he issued a formal, top-secret
execute order to Franks to carry out war plan 1003 V
at a time that he would give to Franks orally. That
way there would be no paper record of the time the war
would begin.
Right on schedule Wednesday, U.S. Special Operations
forces -- accompanied by smaller contingents of British
and Australian special forces -- moved into Iraq. Two
and a half hours later, Tenet walked into the White
House, where he joined the president, Vice President
Cheney, Powell, Rumsfeld, national security adviser
Condoleezza Rice and Air Force Gen. Richard B. Myers,
chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, in the Oval Office.
He had fresh intelligence about Hussein's whereabouts.
The war plan was about to change once again.
Taking a Shot
As they reviewed the information, Bush and his advisers
considered several issues.
Was a direct attack on the Iraqi leader legal? Administration
lawyers quickly determined that the Dora Farm compound
where Hussein was located was a command-and-control
facility subject to military attack, and since the war
had begun, they determined an airstrike was legitimate.
Would there be significant damage outside the compound?
The isolation of the compound suggested it was not a
major concern. Precision targeting allowed strikes to
hit the buildings believed used by Hussein, his sons
Uday and Qusay, and other members of the Iraqi inner
circle but, according to one source, spare a facility
used by family members of the leadership.
Would an air attack destroy the operational security
of the war plan? There was no certainty, but the president's
advisers concluded that an attack actually might increase
operational security by sowing doubt and confusion inside
Iraq and add to the uncertainty about the timing and
nature of the coming war.
Could a surgical strike send the wrong message to those
inside Iraq secretly aiding or expected to support U.S.
forces, suggesting to potential Iraqi allies that the
administration was looking for a cheap way out? Several
Cabinet members said the presence of nearly 250,000
U.S. troops on Iraq's borders had demonstrated Bush's
seriousness.
Was Hussein really there? The intelligence was "damn
good," in the words of one source, and a consensus
emerged that it was worth taking a shot.
Within hours, F-117A stealth fighters dropped a pair
of 2,000-pound bombs on the complex, followed by a volley
of Tomahawk cruise missiles fired from U.S. warships
in the Red Sea and Persian Gulf.
The president went on national television at 10:15
p.m. to announce the onset of war.
The next morning, Franks recommended advancing the
ground operation by 24 hours. The massive assault by
21/3 divisions began that evening.
As for the Dora Farm complex, initial assessments show
the compound was severely damaged in the precision strikes.
But U.S. intelligence authorities, who believe Hussein
and his sons were in the bunker during the attack, still
have no definitive answer as to whether they were killed,
injured, or escaped unharmed.
Researcher Mark Malseed contributed to this report.
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