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Volume 6, No. 3 - September 2002
By Josh Pollack
The U.S.-Saudi relationship is one of Americas
most important, enduring, and complex bilateral connections
in the Middle East. It has been tested by many issues,
including oil policies, the Arab-Israeli conflict, and
confrontation with Iraq. Especially after the September
11, 2001 terrorist attacks on America, in which many
of those involved were Saudi dissidents, both sides
have critiqued and reevaluated that link. This article
provides a history of the U.S.-Saudi relationship and
discusses its nature, problems, and limits.
The enduring contradictions of the Saudi-American relationship
have lately inspired comparisons to a marriage of convenience.
Its close economic and security links have often been
strained by immense political, cultural, and psychological
distances. The breakdown of the Israeli-Palestinian
peace process in September 2000 brought on a difficult
time in the relationship, reminiscent of the period
leading up to the oil embargo of 1973-1974; moreover,
unlike previous crises in U.S.-Saudi relations, its
effects are not mitigated by the commonality of purpose
experienced during the Cold War, especially during the
1970s and 1980s.
The devastation of September 11, 2001 accordingly dealt
a sledgehammer blow to an already unsteady structure.
In America, the shock provoked a complicated and angry
reassessment, in some ways reminiscent of the reordering
of U.S.-Chinese ties after the bloodshed of June 4,
1989 in Tiananmen Square. The Saudis, thrust onto the
defensive and frustrated with American policies and
undertakings regarding Israel, Afghanistan, and Iraq,
have engaged in some reassessment of their own.
The current situation both echoes and diverges from
past episodes in the relationship. Both sides continue
to navigate the relationship through the narrow channels
of a few individuals experienced at maneuvering between
their starkly unalike systems and cultures. Notable
in this respect on the Saudi side is Prince Bandar bin
Sultan, confidant to the ailing King Fahd and ambassador
to the United States since 1983. The dean of the foreign
diplomatic corps in Washington, Bandar has served as
the virtual personification of the relationship for
two decades. On the American side, former President
George H.W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney, who
developed Saudi ties during the Persian Gulf War, have
been instrumental in bringing President George W. Bush
together with Crown Prince Abdullah, who currently manages
the kingdoms affairs in Fahds stead. At
the same time, public sentiment in both countries, fueled
by cable television and the Internet, has played an
unusually large role in the crisis. Both the U.S. and
Saudi Arabia responded with elaborate campaigns to improve
their national images.
Todays problems are further complicated by a
substantial U.S. Air Force and British Royal Air Force
presence on Saudi soil that extends back over a decade
to the Persian Gulf War. In the absence of any formal
understandings on the status of forces, allied raids
against Iraqi air defense sites have become entangled
in Saudi domestic sensitivities, with problematic results
for the war in Afghanistan, as well as any future war
against Iraq. Sustaining the relationship through these
difficulties are the same underlying factors that have
always sustained it: the Western worlds need for
uninterrupted access to energy supplies, and the Saudi
kingdoms need for defense against predatory neighbors.
THE FOUNDING, AND FOUNDATIONS, OF U.S.-SAUDI RELATIONS
Saudi-American ties began with only the slightest of
contacts. Despite the recognition of the kingdom in
1931, no American diplomat visited in a formal capacity
until 1940, when the U.S. envoy to Egypt, Bert Fish,
was co-accredited to the Kingdom of the Hijaz and Najd
and Its Dependencies, as it was then called. In the
year he had left to serve in Cairo, Fish made just a
single trip to Jidda to meet the ruler and founder,
King Abd al-Aziz bin Abd al-Rahman al-Saud, also called
Ibn Saud. The seeming indifference of the Department
of State reflected the extent to which Washington had
relegated the remote kingdom to the British sphere.
That sentiment was not at all shared by the Saudi king
and his advisers, who saw in the Americans a longed-for
counterweight to Britains regional dominance.(1)
More consequential was a 1931 visit by Charles R. Crane,
a Chicago millionaire and philanthropist, world traveler,
former ambassador, and associate of American presidents.(2)
Abd al-Aziz had invited the American at the urging of
his expatriate British adviser, St. John Philby, a nominal
convert to Islam. The king hoped that Crane might facilitate
exploration for assets beneath the soil of the impoverished
kingdom, starting with water.
Crane summoned to Jidda an experienced mining engineer,
Karl S. Twitchell, who shortly proved instrumental in
drawing the attention of a major American oil company
to the kingdoms potential to yield up a more fateful
commodity: oil. In May 1933, after an extended negotiation
by telegraph with Philby, the representatives of Standard
Oil of California (Socal) concluded talks in Jidda with
the Saudi minister of finance. Philby, who was by then
also quietly accepting payments from Socal, advised
Abd al-Aziz to accept the results, a 60-year contract
offering the exclusive concession for exploration and
extraction in the Hasa region, along the shores of the
Persian Gulf.(3) In 1938, what was later to be called
Aramcothe Arabian American Oil Companyfirst
struck oil in commercial quantities. Shipments abroad
commenced the next year.(4)
These first dealings set the pattern for much of what
followed. First, as noted above, the human links between
the United States and Saudi Arabia were strikingly narrow
at the start, largely channeled through the person of
Philby. The exchanges of businessmen, diplomats, warriors,
students, and tourists expanded these contacts in the
years to come, but remained subject to the constraints
of Arabias inhospitable climate and forbidding
mores, as well as the religious authorities resistance
to exposing the kingdoms subjects to Westerners
and their ways.(5)
Second, what turned out to be the kingdoms unparalleled
oil resources laid the foundations of the relationship.
Over the following decades, control of Aramco and its
revenues passed by steps from American into Saudi hands,
but Washingtons attention did not flag. Initially,
the United States focused on excluding other foreign
powers, particularly the British, As one American official
viewed the matter in 1944, "The oil in this region
is the greatest single prize in all history."(6)
Later, the United States instead became concerned with
energy security for the entire industrial world. As
President George H.W. Bush would tell King Fahd bin
Abd al-Aziz on August 4, 1990, just hours after the
Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, "[t]he security of Saudi
Arabia is vitalbasically fundamentalto U.S.
interests and really to the interests of the Western
world."(7) American leaders eventually concluded
that their ultimate national interest in the Persian
Gulf was to keep the prize, and the power that comes
with it, out of unfriendly hands, whether they might
be those of radical Arabs, the Soviet Union, or revolutionary
Iran. Where the profits happened to go was of secondary
importance.(8)
The Saudis, for their part, were determined from the
first to the last to secure the integrity and sovereignty
of the kingdom, and their hold on power within it. Abd
al-Aziz reportedly once enumerated to an American the
factors behind his decision to seek ties, mentioning
American oil expertise, a reputation for respectful
relations with other Arabs, greater interest in expanding
business relations than in consolidating an imperial
sphere, and, "lastly, you are very far away!"
in implicit but sharp distinction to the British.(9)
The kings concerns were underscored in the so-called
"anti-imperial" clause of the 1933 contract,
which explicitly rejected any company influence over
the kingdoms internal affairs.(10) Never confident
of their independent ability to defend their borders,
the Saudis have faced a continuing challenge over the
decades: keeping America in, but not too far in. The
result has been a continuous American military presence
from the end of the Second World War to the present,
mostly in the form of small training missions, and only
sometimes in the form of larger forces, as has been
the case since the Persian Gulf War.
THE COLD WAR PARTNERSHIP
The initial entry of the American armed forces into
the kingdom occurred almost incidentally at the end
of the Second World War, when the United States requested
permission to build a modern airbase at Dhahran, near
the Hasa oilfields, to support the movement of men and
materiel into the Burma theater. Little progress was
made by the end of the war, but the U.S. Army Air Corps
saw the project through to completion in 1946. The Air
Force leased Dhahran Airfield continuously for over
a decade and a half, providing both reassurance and
discomfort to their Saudi hosts.(11)
The base in Dhahran set another pattern: an ambivalence
concerning the in-country American military presence,
and the broader security relationship as well. While
the United States might deter a potential aggressor
in difficult times, too high an American profile also
offered a standing provocation to the ultra-conservative
religious authorities, or ulama, and handed a powerful
propaganda tool to external and internal foes alike.
Worse yet, the American commitment might not be so firm
that conciliating a regional foe would be considered
the more perilous path. For these reasons, Saudi leaders
have alternated between seeking closer security ties
when feeling especially threatened, and minimizing them
when they deemed it too dangerous.(12) The Americans,
in turn, balanced Saudi security concerns against the
implementation of their own regional and global strategies
for the containment of Soviet power, from alliance-building
to nuclear deterrence.(13) The results were a series
of highs and lows in the relationship, depending on
how closely the security of the Saudi state and the
American policy of containment could be aligned at any
given time.
The main complications of the early 1950s derived from
the American partnership with Britain, then a major
regional power whose bases encircled the kingdom, both
entangling them in Arabian Peninsula border disputes
and aligning them with the Saudis traditional
rivals in Iraq and Jordan. Both states were ruled by
kings of the Hashemite dynasty, which Abd al-Aziz had
earlier displaced from the Red Sea emirate of Hijaz,
home to the holy places of Mecca and Medina. The Hashemites
proximity to the oil fields, revanchist ambitions, and
British-led and -trained military forces all encouraged
the Saudis to conclude a mutual defense assistance pact
with the United States in 1951. It included a long-term
lease of Dhahran Airfield, which came under the auspices
of the Military and Advisory Group (MAAG), known from
1959 to the present as the U.S. Military Training Mission
(USMTM).(14)
During the early reign of King Saud, the son and successor
of Abd al-Aziz, this strategy encountered serious difficulties
when the Eisenhower administration set about assembling
a new anti-Soviet alliance. The Baghdad Pact, as it
came to be called, ultimately encompassed Britain, Iraq,
and Iran, as well as Turkey and Pakistan. To the Saudis,
this arrangement united America with the kingdoms
regional rivals and foes, for anti-Soviet purposes,
perhaps, but at Riyadhs expense. In February 1954,
Saud dismissed the American Point IV aid mission from
the country, and in October 1955, he signed a mutual
defense pact with Gamal Abdel Nassers revolutionary,
pro-Moscow Egyptian regime, inviting Egyptian military
trainers into the kingdom in uneasy parallel to the
Americans.
Saudi-American tensions eased considerably after the
Suez Crisis of 1956, when Eisenhower forcefully opposed
the British, French, and Israeli plan to seize Egypts
Suez Canal, concerned that the Europeans neo-imperial
enterprise would throw the region into the Soviet camp.
The crisis enhanced Americas image in the region;
it also turned the newly popular Nasser into the primary
threat to the dynastys rule. With both these considerations
in mind, the Saudis renewed the American lease at Dhahran
the next year.(15) But in 1958, after the unification
of Syria with Egypt and the revolution in Iraq, the
kingdoms erstwhile Egyptian ally became too powerful
to ignore. Once again, Saud sought to minimize his American
connection. In May 1961, with Egypts Voice of
the Arabs radio virulently denouncing the "imperialist
base," the Saudi government announced that it would
not renew Dhahran Airfields lease.(16) USMTM remained
in place, but a large, high-visibility American military
presence of indefinite duration would not return to
the kingdom until 1990.
More limited American military excursions did periodically
occur. In late 1962, when Egyptian infiltrators and
planes began attacking Saudi territory from bases in
Yemen, the Saudis reversed course again, pursuing an
expanded U.S. Air Force "training mission,"
to be based in Jidda.(17) The Americans agreed, but
insisted on keeping their aircraft at Dhahran, much
farther from the Yemen border, and exercised restrictive
rules of engagement.(18) The Kennedy administrations
primary concerns were the continuing independence of
the kingdom and the security of its oilfields. They
regarded the defense of Saudi Arabias southern
border as less significant, certainly in comparison
with the need to avoid an unnecessary confrontation
with Nasser, whom American policymakers now considered
an alternative to Soviet influence. The U.S. warplanes
arrived in July 1963 and were withdrawn in January 1964.(19)
Calculations of this sort gave rise to recurring concerns
in Riyadh about American dependability. The Saudis experienced
renewed uncertainty in the fall of 1978, when the Carter
administration declined to intervene on behalf of the
faltering regime of the shah of Iran, which had played
a significant stabilizing role in the Persian Gulf since
the withdrawal of the British in 1971. In early December
1978, the Saudis, who had increased oil production to
stabilize prices during the Iranian crisis, asked Senator
Robert Byrd, acting as the presidents envoy, for
America to provide for regional security. The next month,
the administration announced that a group of U.S. F-15s
would visit the kingdom.
At the same time, not wishing to antagonize the new
Iranian government of Shahpour Bakhtiar, which they
hoped might turn the country in a more moderate direction,
the Americans announced that the planes were unarmed.
This irresolute display may have contributed to the
Saudis decision later that year to reduce oil
production, driving up prices in hopes of conciliating
the new Iranian regime of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini,
which had taken Bakhtiars place.(20) Notwithstanding
subsequent declarations by Presidents Carter and Reagan
that the U.S. would use force to defend the Persian
Gulf, the episode left an lasting impression. After
the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in August 1990, Saudi ambassador
Prince Bandar bin Sultan expressed skepticism about
Americas willingness to come to the kingdoms
defense, citing the unarmed F-15s of 1979.(21)
The Cold War struggle did not only strain the security
relationship; it also could serve as a unifying factor,
especially in the 1970s, when the establishment of the
Peoples Democratic Republic of Yemen placed a
Soviet ally on Saudi Arabias doorstep. Even more
significantly, the dramatic growth of Saudi oil revenues
at that time allowed the kingdom to become a major financial
contributor to the global struggle against communism.
Formerly a recipient of U.S. aid, Saudi Arabia began
to send its own money abroad in the mid-1970s, including
collaborations with the Americans in sponsoring anti-communist
rebel movements in Angola, Ethiopia, and Afghanistan.(22)
Still, not all Saudi aid policies were in keeping with
American preferences or to Americas benefit. Particularly
troublesome were Riyadhs payments to the PLO and
rejectionist Arab states as a counter to Americas
mediation of an Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty in 1978
and 1979.(23) But also among the most controversial
aid policies was one that originated in the White House:
in May 1984, at the request of Reagan national security
adviser Robert McFarlane, Bandar quietly arranged for
over a million dollars a month to go to a Miami bank
account belonging to the Nicaraguan contra rebels, whose
funding Congress had cut off. McFarlane later characterized
these as a transfer of a foreign officials "personal
funds," while Bandar simply denied the story.(24)
THE EMERGENCE OF THE ARAB OIL WEAPON
The Cold War partnership also had the benefit of normally
overshadowing a potential complication: Americas
connection to Israel, which grew from generalized moral
support in the 1940s to an arms supply relationship
in the mid-1960s, and became a de facto anti-Soviet
alliance in the late 1960s and early 1970s. The Saudis
were inclined and generally able to disregard the issue
beyond the rhetorical level, and normally it had little
effect on ties with Washington. But moments of open
Arab-Israeli conflict tended to polarize the entire
region, putting considerable pressure on friends of
America. These crises threatened the regimes legitimacy,
but by the same token, they also provided it with opportunities
to assert its independence from American policy. For
the Americans, though, these episodes, like all other
disputes touching on oil supplies, had no upside; they
were a "recurring bad dream," culminating
most nightmarishly in the oil embargo of 1973-1974.(25)
Reflecting Arab sentiment and the kingdoms special
identity as the home of the holy places of Islam, Saudi
leaders stood opposed to a sovereign Jewish presence
in the midst of the Arab world almost from the start.(26)
Palestine emerged as a matter of contention even before
the first meeting of Saudi and American heads of state
took place in 1945 aboard an American warship anchored
in the Great Bitter Lake, along the Suez Canal.(27)
On that occasion, King Abd al-Aziz extracted from President
Franklin D. Roosevelt a two-part pledge: "(1) He
personally, as president, would never do anything which
might prove hostile to the Arabs; and (2) the U.S. Government
would make no change in its basic policy in Palestine
without full and prior consultation with both Jews and
Arabs."(28)
President Harry S. Truman renewed his predecessors
pledge, but also supported the UN General Assembly resolution
of November 29, 1947, which called for separate Jewish
and Arab states in Palestine. By December, Abd al-Aziz
indicated to the American minister in Jidda that his
own failure to withdraw Aramcos oil concessions
in response invited danger from Iraq and Transjordan.
He requested assistance against such an eventuality,
including arms, which the U.S. government was then reluctant
to provide.(29) The next year, soon after Israels
declaration of independence, Aramco President James
Terry Duce warned Washington that Abd al-Aziz had threatened
possible consequences for the Americans access
to Saudi resources should the United States provide
arms to the Jewish state.(30) But the Americans had
no plans to do so. The Saudis and other Arab oil exporters
would make similar threats against the British and French
during the 1956 Suez crisis, ultimately to little avail.(31)
The 1967 crisis was all the more severe, given the
increased importance of Arab oil, closer American-Israeli
ties than before, and a regional perception of the kingdom
as being dependent on the United States. Arab sentiment
against America spilled over into criticism of the ruling
family, which was seen as doing relatively little to
support Egypt. With tensions rising between Israel and
Egypt, three bombs exploded at the American embassy
and USMTM facilities in Riyadh on June 2. Shaikh Ahmad
Zaki Yamani, Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources,
warned Aramco officials of the consequences of U.S.
support for Israel, hinting darkly at nationalization.
On June 6, the second day of the war, Egyptian radio
broadcast claims that American and British carrier-based
aircraft had attacked Egyptian airfields. Egypt and
five other Arab states broke relations with both countries.
The next day, a series of demonstrations broke out in
Saudi Arabia, and King Faisal bin Abd al-Aziz proclaimed
at a rally in Riyadh that the kingdom would cut off
oil supplies "to anyone who aided Israel."
A combination of labor actions and mob violence shut
down Aramcos operations, and Yamani informed Aramco
officials that no shipments to the U.S. or Britain would
be allowed.(32) Over the next two months, American,
Venezuelan, Iranian, and Indonesian oil production surged
to fill the gap, and by early September, the Arab producers
gave up the embargo. Not until a few years later, when
growing demand had outstripped Americas remaining
spare oil production and the Arabs gained greater cooperation
from other members of the OPEC cartel, did market realities
permit the effective deployment of the "oil weapon."(33)
After the 1967 War, and against the background of the
Israeli-Egyptian War of Attrition, Saudi ties to America
subjected the royal family to growing pressure from
Arab radicals. Faisal, hoping to resolve or at least
lessen these tensions, continually urged the Americans
to press Israel to withdraw to the pre-war lines.(34)
In December 1969, the Nixon administration announced
an American peace plan along these lines, called the
Rogers Plan, after then-Secretary of State William Rogers.
The Israelis resisted the proposal, enabling the Americans
to put some distance between themselves and Jerusalem,
but accomplishing little else.(35) Eventually, in the
face of growing Soviet support for the Egyptians, Rogers
initiatives gave way to a more pro-Israeli policy.(36)
The contradictions of the Saudi-American relationship
reached the breaking point in the crisis of 1973-1974,
when high officials in Washington would openly threaten
the possibility of seizing Persian Gulf oil fields,
either in Saudi Arabia or possibly in neighboring Arab
countries.(37) It also marked a decisive shift in the
balance of relations in terms of petroleum. Saudi Arabia
emerged as the worlds "swing producer,"
possessing the bulk of global spare production capacity,
and thus the last word on any attempt to drive up prices
through cutbacks.
Americans and Saudis stood on opposite sides from the
outset of the crisis. Egyptian President Anwar al-Sadats
earlier decisions to end the War of Attrition and then
to expel Soviet forces had seemed to Nixon and national
security adviser Henry Kissinger to validate their uncompromising
Middle East policy. To Faisal, Washingtons failure
to reassess aid to Israel after the lessening of the
Soviet threat to the region amounted to a betrayal,
and he set about providing weapons and aid to Sadat.(38)
In May 1973, Faisal warned Aramco officials that American
policy placed the kingdom "in danger of being isolated
among its Arab friends," which could jeopardize
the oil concessions. In an interview with NBC, the king
declared that "Americas complete support
for Zionism and against the Arabs makes it extremely
difficult for us to continue to supply the United States
with oil, or even to remain friends with the United
States."(39) In August, Sadat visited Riyadh to
apprise Faisal of his war plans. Faisal offered financial
support and the use of the oil weapon.(40)
The coordinated Egyptian and Syrian surprise attacks
of October 6 fell not only on the solemn Jewish holiday
of Yom Kippur, but also during a meeting of OPEC and
oil company representatives in Vienna. Unable to settle
with the companies on oil prices, the exporters
delegation adjourned to Kuwait City on October 15, where
they proclaimed a unilateral 70% hike. Yamani told his
colleagues, "This is a moment for which I have
been waiting a long time. The moment has come. We are
masters of our own commodity."(41)
The Arabs soon exercised their newfound mastery to
greater effect. On October 17, the Arab oil ministers
agreed to cut back production 5% each month. On October
19, in response to Israeli pleas for resupply, the U.S.
government announced an immediate, large-scale military
aid package. The next day, when word reached Arab capitals
that Egypt was facing defeat, the exporters announced
the suspension of all oil supplies to the United States,
with swift and disruptive effects on Americas
domestic life and economy.(42) With the president paralyzed
by the unfolding Watergate scandal, Kissinger undertook
an extended program of shuttle diplomacy between Egypt,
Israel, and Syria, making side trips to Saudi Arabia.
On March 18, 1974, after a long series of threats and
inducements, and with an Egyptian-Israeli disengagement
agreement already secured, the Saudis and most other
Arab producers agreed to conclude the embargo.(43)
The embargo showed both sides the limits of the relationship.
Each subsequent American administration, recognizing
the potential for another disaster, would pursue its
own Middle East peace plans. The Saudis refrained from
brandishing the oil weapon in subsequent Israeli-Arab
crises, apparently concerned about the deleterious effects
of a renewed embargo on the long-term market for oil,
given both its harsh consequences for Western economies
and the encouragement it would give to the development
of alternative energy sources. A rash American response
was also possible. Instead, Saudi policymakers have
striven to keep the price of oil in a "sweet spot"
intended to maximize demand and revenues over time,
a strategy limited only by OPECs share of world
production and ability to cooperate.(44)
THE RISE(S) AND FALL(S) OF AMERICAS SAUDI ARMS
MARKET
Another result of the explosive growth of Saudi oil
revenues in the 1970s was the ability of the kingdom
to purchase advanced armaments in large quantities.
The urgency of national defense needs increased appreciably
after the Iranian Revolution and the outbreak of the
Iran-Iraq War, which featured Iranian missile attacks
on Persian Gulf shipping and probes against Saudi air
defenses. The Saudis decided to focus in particular
on building up the Royal Saudi Air Force (RSAF), and
selected the United States as their supplier of choice.
Sales dropped in the late 1980s after Washingtons
denial of key arms requests, peaked again after the
Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990, and then fell off
again in the mid-1990s under the twin burdens of Persian
Gulf War debt and falling oil revenues. The total value
of American arms sales to Saudi Arabia over the past
half-century approaches $100 billion, with over a quarter
of the contracts signed in the 1990s (in dollar terms).(45)
These figures include weapons, support equipment, spare
parts, support services, and construction.(46)
During the Ford, Carter, and Reagan administrations,
arms transactions were sometimes complicated by an increasingly
assertive American Jewish community, whose pro-Israel
lobby, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee
(AIPAC), opposed sales of advanced arms to Saudi Arabia
on the grounds that they might be employed against Israel.
AIPACs strategy was to seek congressional votes
against the administrations arms export decisions;
the Saudis, lacking a comparable option, mainly worked
through the administration. The biggest battles concerned
the transfer of advanced weapons such as Maverick air-to-ground
missiles in 1976, F-15 fighter-bombers in 1978, and
AWACS airborne early warning aircraft in 1981. In all
of these cases, the administration prevailed.(47) But
in 1985, AIPAC scored its first major victory, temporarily
blocking the sale of additional F-15s by successfully
persuading Congress to intervene. The Saudis located
alternatives, including a series of major arms deals
with Britain.(48)
Saudi Arabia was also denied access to the Lance short-range
surface-to-surface missile, the first in a series of
setbacks in prospective sales of missiles of all kinds.(49)
These developments came at a sensitive moment for the
kingdom, which was seeking an answer to Irans
missile capabilities, amply demonstrated during the
conflict with Iraq.(50) In July 1985, Ambassador Bandar
bin Sultan made a surprise trip to Beijing at King Fahds
behest.(51) The secret purpose of the visit was to explore
the possibility that the Chinese might sell Saudi Arabia
some of its Dong Feng-3A (CSS-2) ballistic missiles,
relatively inaccurate weapons with an estimated range
of 3,000 to 4,000 km, designed and built to carry nuclear
warheads as powerful as three megatons.(52) Secret negotiations
during late 1986 and 1987 resulted in a multibillion-dollar
deal for an estimated 10-15 mobile launchers and 50-56
specially modified missiles, reportedly carrying heavy
conventional warheads that somewhat reduced their range.(53)
American satellite imagery interpreters recognized
the missile deployment in early 1988.(54) The Americans
were enraged at the subterfuge, and further embarrassed
by Bandars involvement. The Saudis, emphasizing
the dangers they faced from Iran, held that their decision
to purchase the Chinese missiles had followed the Congresss
decision to prevent the sale of F-15s in 1985.(55) Assuring
the Americans that the missiles were conventionally
armed, they rejected any possibility of inspections.(56)
The administration expressed its severe displeasure,
pointing out to the Saudis that their new anti-Iranian
weapons could provoke an unwanted conflict with Israel,
and separate groups of senators and congressmen wrote
Secretary of State George Shultz to ask that the administration
suspend planned arms sales until the missiles were withdrawn.(57)
Riyadh was unmoved. After delivering a forceful démarche
to Fahd, Ambassador Hume Horan was recalled from his
post. This unprecedented move, reportedly undertaken
at Bandars urging, smoothed the path for an upcoming
visit by Shultz to promote the Reagan administrations
regional peace initiative.(58) Bandar, for his part,
privately expressed glee at Washingtons discomfort,
indicating that such developments were the consequence
of congressional interventions in arms sales.(59)
The breach was not long to mend. Within weeks of Shultzs
visit, the Saudis signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty, effectively forswearing any nuclear ambitions,
and also severed diplomatic relations with Iran. The
Americans reciprocated by approving the planned arms
sales.(60) The Saudis had successfully demonstrated
their independence from American arms export policy,
much as they had already done regarding oil policy.
In widely published remarks, Fahd told Saudi military
and security officials, "The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
is not tied to anyone and does not take part in any
pact that forces upon it any sort of obligations.
if
things become complicated with a certain country we
will find other countries, regardless of whether they
are Eastern or Western
We are buying weapons,
not principles."(61)
After Iraqs 1990 invasion of Kuwait, Saudi Arabia
signed several major contracts for American weapons
systems. In 1993, the Saudis signed a $7 billion contract
for 72 F-15s with advanced capabilities, but this would
be the last large-scale deal with the Americans for
some time to come. Burdened by debt from the Persian
Gulf War and declining oil revenues, the Saudis were
forced to renegotiate payments with the U.S. government
and American defense contractors.(62) Total agreements
fell to $4 billion for 1993-1997 and to just $600 million
in 1998-2001.(63) European sales exhibited a similar
pattern, but appear to be picking up again in 2002,
possibly reflecting recent tensions with the U.S. over
the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the use of Saudi
bases against Iraq.(64)
Large arms sales to Saudi Arabia have helped keep American
defense contractors production lines open, and
have been quite significant for the balance of trade.
Nevertheless, neither the buying sprees of past decades
nor recurring moves to alternate suppliers seem to have
lessened the kingdoms essential dependence on
the United States for its defense and security.(65)
THE U.S. MILITARY RETURNS TO SAUDI ARABIA
The Bush administration recognized immediately that
Iraqs invasion of Kuwait on August 3, 1990 posed
a direct threat to the security of Saudi Arabia and
the interests of all advanced economies. Expediting
the return of American forces to the kingdom in large
numbers was imperative, yet also a very delicate matter.
Three days later, a senior American delegation led by
Secretary of Defense Dick Cheney briefed Fahd and his
advisers in Riyadh. A published account underscores
this tension: with Bandar translating, Cheney declared,
"After the danger is over, our forces will go home."
The account continues, "Under his breath in Arabic,
[Crown Prince] Abdullah interjected, I would hope
so. Bandar did not translate this."(66)
The triumphant war to defend the Arabian Peninsula
and liberate Kuwait marked another high point for the
U.S.-Saudi partnership. But the danger from Iraq persisted,
and Cheneys pledge notwithstanding, Western forces
remained in the kingdom, even in the absence of any
formal agreement on their status. Not only did they
remain, to the Saudis growing discomfort, but
their presence became informally established under the
rubric of the "dual containment" of Iran and
Iraq. The terms of the enforcement of the "no-fly
zone" over southern Iraq by British and American
warplanes remains a matter of particular sensitivity.
The priority assigned to Saudi-American relations declined
substantially with the January 1993 inauguration of
President Bill Clinton. In Middle Eastern affairs, the
new president was largely preoccupied with Arab-Israeli
peacemaking. His administrations overriding policy
interest was the health of the domestic economy and,
for Saudi Arabia, this meant a focus on balance-of-trade
issues, such as the purchase of civilian airliners and,
later, oil prices. Bandars standing in Washington
declined accordingly.(67) His special value to American
officials also appeared to decline after the incapacitation
of his patron, King Fahd, by a series of strokes starting
in late 1995.(68) The ambassadors precise standing
under the de facto regency headed by Fahds half-brother
and designated heir, Crown Prince Abdullah, is unclear.(69)
In the absence of sustained attention from the White
House, U.S.-Saudi relations in the 1990s were troubled
by the continued presence of American and British forces
at Saudi bases. Terrorist bombings killed seven people,
including five American servicemen, at a Saudi Arabian
National Guard training site in Riyadh in November 1995.
Another bomb killed 19 U.S. Air Force personnel at the
Khobar Towers housing facility in Dhahran in June 1996.
As a defensive measure, Western forces were consolidated
at fewer and less accessible sites, particularly Prince
Sultan Air Base (PSAB, in American military parlance),
in the desert south of Riyadh.(70)
Following the Riyadh and Dhahran attacks, law enforcement
cooperation was too limited for Washingtons liking.(71)
Saudi Arabia also was not closely engaged in the early
phases of Americas pursuit of international terrorists
in the Middle East. In 1996, when the Americans succeeded
in persuading the government of Sudan to expel from
its territory a violent Saudi dissident, Usama bin Ladin,
Riyadh declined to request his extradition. The scion
of an elite Saudi Arabian business family and the head
of the al-Qaida terrorist organization, bin Ladin
opposed both the royal family and the United States
on the grounds that the foreign, non-Muslim military
presence defiled holy soil. In the absence of an Saudi
extradition request, bin Ladin traveled unmolested to
Afghanistan, where the United States and Saudi Arabia
had supported the anti-Soviet mujahidin insurgency in
the 1980s, and where he had gotten his start as a sponsor
of mujahid activity.(72)
Even after the departure of the Soviets, Afghanistan
had continued to receive official Saudi attention, mainly
in the form of support for the Taliban, the rigidly
Islamist militia that controlled most of the country
after 1996. Riyadhs sponsorship of the Taliban
continued even after bin Ladin, who had been stripped
of Saudi citizenship two years before, accepted their
hospitality.(73) Only after al-Qaida simultaneously
bombed Americas embassies in Kenya and Tanzania
in August 1998 did the Saudis and Americans alike make
serious, if not necessarily well-coordinated, efforts
to pressure or bribe the Taliban to hand over bin Ladin.(74)
The Saudis pressed on with the Taliban even after the
Americans had given up, but their mission, too, was
abandoned as fruitless after the launch of cruise missiles
from American warships in the Indian Ocean, in a failed
attempt to kill the terrorist leader.(75)
In retrospect, the mistrust and lack of coordination
between the two sides may have been quite costly. But
viewed differently, both bin Ladins anti-Saudi,
anti-American agenda and the seeming inability of Washington
and Riyadh to work together smoothly against it have
sprung from a common source: the tensions attendant
on the indefinite American and British military presence
in Saudi Arabia.
THE NEW CRISIS IN SAUDI-AMERICAN RELATIONS
The Clinton administrations energetic devotion
to the Middle East peace process served the cause of
American relations with Saudi Arabia to the extent that
it kept Arab-Israeli issues from overheating for the
better part of a decade. Accordingly, the breakdown
of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process and the beginning
of the second intifada renewed the tensions in Washingtons
relationship with Riyadh.
At difficult points in the negotiations, the Americans
turned to the Jordanians and Egyptians, who by virtue
of their peace treaties with Israel could serve as Arab
intermediaries. The Saudis maintained their distance.(76)
During the 1999 funeral of King Hussein of Jordan, the
Arab leader who had gone to the greatest lengths to
identify himself with peace efforts, President Clinton
reportedly approached Crown Prince Abdullah without
warning, asking if he would like to be introduced to
Israels leaders, then and there. Abdullah is reported
to have replied brusquely, saying, "I believe,
Your Excellency Mr. President, that there are limits
to friendship."(77) The outbreak of the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict in September 2000 further tested those limits.
Upon entering office in January 2001, the administration
of George W. Bush had inherited a largely neglected
relationship between the two nations from the Clinton
Administration; a relationship that steadily worsened
as the fighting between Israelis and Palestinians provoked
anti-American reaction in the Middle East. Yet Bush
also brought to the presidency two other inheritances
that initially seemed like potential mitigating factors.
The first factor was the personal relationship between
the Bush family and the Saudi royals, inherited from
Clintons predecessor and the new presidents
father, George H.W. Bush. This connection seemed to
offer hope to Riyadh for a renewal of the relationship
through known channels. Like his father, the younger
Bush was a former oilman, likely to grasp the importance
of U.S.-Saudi relations. The first Bush administration
had confronted Israel over the expansion of Jewish settlements
in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, and brought Prime
Minister Yitzhak Shamirs government to the peace
table at Madrid. President George W. Bush had also returned
to office two senior officials familiar from a decade
before, Vice President Dick Cheney and Secretary of
State Colin Powell, and presumably was also receptive
to his fathers advice.
The second factor was heightened expectations inherited
from the presidential campaign, in which Bush emerged
as the "Arab" candidate, while his Democratic
opponent, Vice President Al Gore, chose an Orthodox
Jew, Senator Joseph Lieberman, as his running mate.(78)
Governor Bush appealed directly to Arab-American voters
during the candidates second televised debate,
and won a plurality of their votes on Election Day.(79)
But what seemed like positives only created considerable
misunderstanding and confusion when the new Bush showed
little inclination to follow in his fathers footsteps
in the Middle East.
The informality of the arrangements governing the U.S.
and British military presence was also a continuing
source of tension, and became a more acute problem in
February 2001, after the allies mounted a large air
raid from Prince Sultan Air Base against air defense
targets around Baghdad, apparently without providing
prior notice to the Saudi government. Shortly after
a special Pentagon press conference announcing and explaining
the attack, President Bush played it down, describing
it as "routine."(80) Following this episode,
the Saudis imposed operational restrictions on allied
warplanes operating out of PSAB, forbidding them to
conduct further offensive operations against Iraq.(81)
In June, Interior Minister Prince Nayif bin Abd al-Aziz
again underscored the Saudi governments desire
to assert its exclusive sovereignty in matters related
to hosting foreign forces, ruling out extradition of
suspects held in the Khobar Towers bombing case: "[n]o
other entity has the right to try or investigate any
crimes occurring on Saudi lands."(82)
In the public sphere, the intifada tended to overshadow
these problems. By disrupting the Middle East peace
process, it brought to its conclusion a relatively easy
period in Americas post-Cold War experiment in
balancing relations with both Jewish and Arab allies.
A demographic surge, combined with both the coming of
age of Arabic-language satellite television news and
the recent introduction of the internet to the kingdom,
put pressure on the Saudi leadership. The kingdoms
youthful populace, inflamed by constant broadcasts of
Israeli military actions against the Palestinians, was
also enraged at America, widely perceived as backing
the Israelis, and angered by the their own authorities
ties with the United States.(83) The Americans, in turn,
found themselves caught between Jerusalems insistence
that they ought to support Israels defense of
its citizens against terrorist attacks, and Riyadhs
insistence that they intercede forcefully with Israel
against its depredations in the territories. In one
interview, a senior prince declared that the "reputation
of the United States in the Arab region has dropped
to zero," adding that "too biased a stand
makes an awkward situation for Americas friends."(84)
Making some space between themselves and Washington,
the Saudis pledged $225 million dollars in aid to the
PA in April 2001.(85)
Unable to finesse this situation, the Bush administration
shifted from one stance to another, seeking to mollify
Saudi Arabia and Israel alternately. One consistent
point in the presidents personal diplomacy was
to shun Palestinian leader Yasir Arafat, while frequently
inviting Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon for consultations
at the White House. Possibly in response to this choice,
the Crown Prince Abdullah refused an invitation to Washington,
preferring to communicate by a series of telephone calls
and letters from Riyadh.(86) While maintaining this
distance, he repeatedly called on Bush to restrain Israel.(87)
Abdullahs discontent became a sufficiently troubling
matter in Washington that in mid-July 2001, the New
York Times, citing both "a senior administration
official" and "a Middle East diplomat,"
reported that the former President George Bush had phoned
the crown prince to engage with him warmly, telling
him that his sons "heart is in the right
place" and that he was "going to do the right
thing." He again urged the Saudi leader to visit
the United States, without success.(88)
The elder Bushs entreaties and assurances notwithstanding,
the crown prince eventually turned to brinkmanship behind
closed doors, dispatching Bandar to threaten a break
in the formerly close relationship. The ambassadors
démarche indicated that Abdullah had no intention
of allowing himself to become the next Shah of Iran:
"a time comes when peoples and nations part. We
are at a crossroads. It is time for the United States
and Saudi Arabia to look to their separate interests."(89)
Less than two days later, the Americans provided the
Saudi embassy with a presidential letter, which Bandar
carried back to Riyadh. Addressing the crown princes
concerns in two pages, it confirmed Bushs commitment
to the establishment of a Palestinian state. According
to one account, Abdullah shared Bushs letter and
the text of his own original complaint with fellow Arab
leaders, including Yasir Arafat, whom he summoned to
Riyadh. The Saudis then wrote back to Bush, attaching
a letter from Arafat pledging to fulfill Bushs
requirements for restarting the peace talks, and returned
their ambassador to Washington.(90)
This delicate exchange was violently disrupted by the
terrorist attacks of September 11, which spawned even
more serious problems for the relationship (see below).
Even afterwards, Israel and the Palestinians remained
on the Saudi agenda. They may have assumed even greater
importance, insofar as the unresolved conflict created
a hurdle for cooperation with the United States on Afghanistan
and especially Iraq. But to Riyadhs frustration,
after September 11, Americans tended to regard Israels
situation more sympathetically, even empathetically.(91)
On the Bush administrations revised agenda, the
Global War on Terrorism outranked many other things,
including Middle Eastern conflict resolution.
THE SAUDI PEACE INITIATIVE
It was in this context that Abdullah offered his own
peace proposal at an Arab League summit in late March
2002, a possibility he had hinted at publicly as early
as the previous June.(92) The March initiative materialized
the previous month, when Thomas L. Friedman of the New
York Times quoted the crown prince as saying that his
own ideas were "virtually identical" to a
suggestion Friedman himself had recently placed in print.(93)
The columnist had proposed that the entire Arab League
offer Israel "full peace" and security guarantees
in exchange for a withdrawal to the June 4, 1967 lines.(94)
Abdullah also finally accepted an invitation to the
United States, which came up again during a mid-March
tour of regional capitals by Vice President Dick Cheney.
Apparently determined to round up support for a new
war effort against Iraq, Cheney returned with the message
that some form of progress on the Israeli-Palestinian
front would be necessary first.(95)
Apparently responding to domestic sensitivities, Saudi
authorities avoided further elucidation of their concept
prior to the Beirut summit, explaining only that they
would be offering Israel additional incentives to make
peace with its neighbors.(96) While Friedmans
idea had not touched on the fate of the Palestinian
refugees, the consensus Arab League plan that emerged
from Beirut featured a demand for Israels affirmation
of the "[a]chievement of a just solution to the
Palestinian Refugee problem to be agreed upon in accordance
with UN General Assembly Resolution 194," which
is generally understood in the Arab world as providing
for a right of return. This language roughly paralleled
the Palestinian position at Camp David in July 2000,
a point that Palestinian Authority representatives were
swift to point out.(97)
The Saudi proposal was, moreover, swiftly overtaken
by events on the ground. A particularly shocking and
deadly series of terror bombings took place in Israel
on and around the Passover holiday, commencing as the
summiteers were gathering in Beirut. The Israeli response
was a major offensive against the bases of armed Palestinian
factions in the heart of West Bank cities, inspiring
angry protests in the streets of Arab capitals. Before
the end of the summit, Abdullah was reduced to offering
bitter denunciations of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel
Sharon, and announcing to reporters that he had secured
from Washington a guarantee of Arafats safety
during the Israeli invasion of Ramallah. Arafat was
not harmed, but the Israelis essentially disregarded
President Bushs public insistence on an immediate
withdrawal from Palestinian cities. (98)
The collective results of the summit and Israels
Operation Defensive Shield were the creation of a single
and apparently non-negotiable Arab position and the
embarrassment of the Saudi government, both of which
complicated American efforts to persuade the Saudi leadership
to press Arafat to make concessions and to convince
the Palestinian rejectionist organizations to cease
conducting their "martyrdom operations" against
Israeli civilians.(99) In addition, Crown Prince Abdullah
and the Iraqi delegate embraced during the summit, a
gesture many perceived as signaling a move toward reconciliation
in response to American threats to attack Iraq.(100)
Despite the setback, Abdullah was not prepared to give
up, and pressed ahead with the planned visit to President
Bushs Texas ranch in late April. His visit was
preceded by anonymous threats in the U.S. press about
the possible revival of the "oil weapon" and
an end to the security relationship.(101) Over five
hours of meetings, Abdullah rejected talk of using the
oil weapon, but warned of a "deep rift," and
declined to participate in a joint statement. The Saudis
presented the Americans with a proposed eight-point
roadmap designed to move the Israelis and Palestinians
toward a cease-fire and a peace agreement along the
lines of the Beirut Declarationseemingly an unsubtle
indication of Abdullahs lack of confidence in
American mediation efforts to date. As before, the Americans
relied on personal relationships to smooth over difficulties;
before visiting the ranch, the crown prince met with
the Vice President; afterwards, the presidents
father took him on a train ride to visit his Presidential
Library in College Station, Texas.(102)
Before Abdullah left the country, the Americans persuaded
the Israelis to allow Yasir Arafat to leave his surrounded
compound in Ramallah, allowing the crown prince to claim
success.(103) But this accomplishment proved minor and
short-lived; in late June, after another wave of suicide
bombings, President Bush delivered a speech offering
American support for a Palestinian state, but demanding
that the Palestinians oust Arafat. Saudi royals found
themselves in the awkward position of praising some
parts of the speech, while defending Arafats legitimacy
on the basis of democratic processes.(104)
To a large extent, the latest Arab-Israeli conflict
had returned Saudi-American relations to the patterns
of the War of Attrition and the Rogers Plan: complaints
and threats from Saudi leaders encouraged their American
counterparts to find ways to pressure Israel for concessions,
or at least to locate differences with Jerusalem that
might ease tensions with Riyadh. In both cases, the
Secretary of State and other American mediators spent
a substantial amount of time in the Middle East, and
in both cases, their ministrations merely temporized
in the face of an intractable Arab-Israeli conflict.
And in both cases, the Americans ultimately were so
antagonized by the behavior of Israels enemy as
to turn against them, to the Saudis dismay.
AFTER SEPTEMBER 11
The devastating terrorist attacks on the United States
by a group of 19 Arabs loyal to Usama bin Ladin, including
15 Saudis, rearranged regional politics and dealt a
stunning blow to U.S.-Saudi relations. The immediate
reaction of large segments of the Saudi and other Arab
publics included spontaneous celebrations.(105) Suddenly
on the defensive, the Saudis acted swiftly to stabilize
oil prices, and then severed relations with the Taliban
as the United States prepared to carry its war onto
Afghan soil.(106) Since that time, Saudi police have
also arrested suspected terrorists inside the kingdom,
including a Sudanese man allegedly responsible for firing
a shoulder-fired surface-to-air missile at an American
aircraft at Prince Sultan Air Base.(107)
At the same time, the Saudis were unable or unwilling
to ignore the heightened tensions and anger of the past
year, placing obstacles in the way of full cooperation
against the Taliban and al-Qaida. From the start,
they restricted the scope and visibility of the American
war effort on Saudi territory.(108) Saudi spokesmen
ruled out attacks on any other Arab country from their
soil, and also hinted in advance that any American request
to launch sorties against targets in Afghanistan from
their bases would not be welcome. Senior U.S. officials,
not wishing to exacerbate the problem, repeatedly asserted
in public that the Saudis had cooperated with every
American request, and carefully avoided making any requests
that might be refused.(109)
Striking the right balance proved tricky. In September,
the Department of Defense announced the arrival of Air
Force Lieutenant General Charles Wald at the recently
completed Combined Air Operations Center (CAOC) at Prince
Sultan Air Base, from where he would manage the air
war, but not until early October did Crown Prince Abdullah
and Defense Minister Prince Sultan bin Abd al-Aziz indicate
their assent to Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld,
and apparently not without some restrictions.(110) Despite
upbeat reports from American officials, accounts of
difficulties in securing Saudi cooperation against al-Qaida
on the financial front also continued to crop up in
the news.(111)
In the United States, anger against the kingdom soon
reached a point not seen since the 1973-1974 oil embargo.
A wave of harshly critical commentary from journalists,
commentators, and Congressmen pointed out the limits
of Saudi cooperation, and attributed the rise of al-Qaida
to Saudi (and Egyptian) decisions to encourage virulent
anti-American rhetoric in place of dissent, and to export
troublemakers to assure internal stability.(112) Other
topics that troubled U.S. editorialists included the
rigid traditionalism of Saudi society, particularly
its treatment of women; Prince Nayifs repeatedly
expressed doubts about the involvement of Saudi subjects
in the September 11 attacks; and news coverage of a
Saudi telethon to support the families of Palestinians
killed in the conflict, including those of suicide bombers.(113)
Americans were also reminded of their archenemys
origins upon learning that members of the bin Ladin
family residing in the United States had been airlifted
home en masse at the request of the Saudi government.(114)
Most recently, the families of 600 victims of the September
11 attacks have filed suit against Saudi banks, charities,
and members of the royal family, among other parties,
accusing them of supporting al-Qaida.(115)
Americans anger was reciprocated by the Saudis
own rage at American support for Israel, military action
in Afghanistan, and detention of Arab prisoners, reportedly
including a large number of Saudis, at a makeshift prison
at the Guantanamo Bay Naval Station in Cuba.(116) They
expressed their feelings in a fall-off of tourism, consumer
boycotts of American products, and the divestment of
billions of dollars.(117) Bombing attacks have also
killed American and British expatriates in the kingdom.(118)
In public, American officials continued to insist on
the soundness of Saudi cooperation, while telling Saudi
leaders that the government did not share the views
so frequently expressed in the U.S. news media. Saudi
officials and editorialists generally accepted these
assurances, tending to dismiss all criticism as stemming
from hostile concentrations of Jewish power. As Crown
Prince Abdullah put it to a New York Times correspondent,
"The people of the kingdom have not been affected
by what certain newspapers publish and you know who
is behind this media."(119)
This dubious interpretation did not preclude more sophisticated
responses. Saudi officials turned to the tools of modern
public opinion management, including radio and television
advertisements in major U.S. media markets that invited
audiences to keep an open mind about the kingdom.(120)
Most unusually, an American-educated adviser to the
crown prince, Adel al-Jubair, systematically made the
rounds of television news talk shows to present Saudi
views to the American public.(121) At the same time,
the American government, dismayed by Arab and Muslim
reactions to the September 11 attacks and the personality
of Usama bin Ladin, recruited a former advertising executive
to develop and implement its own new "public diplomacy"
effort.(122) But neither of these campaigns seemed quite
as effective as bin Ladins, which was based on
a steady trickle of videotaped speeches broadcast over
al-Jazirah, the controversial Arabic-language satellite
news channel.(123)
These tensions grew even more acute after Bushs
January State of the Union address assailing an "axis
of evil" that included two neighboring states,
Iraq and Iran, and his insistence on the urgency of
replacing Iraqs regime. Reports that U.S. forces
might be asked to leave Saudi Arabia were accompanied
by accounts of the construction of a new CAOC in neighboring
Qatar.(124) Later, a leaked war plan that appeared in
the New York Times indicated that Saudi Arabia would
not be a base of operations.(125) Following another
leak, which revealed that a consultant had delivered
a briefing to a Pentagon advisory panel describing the
kingdom as an enemy of the United States, Foreign Minister
Saud al-Faisal once again explicitly ruled out the use
of Saudi bases against Iraq.(126)
Barely suppressed anger remains the dominant mode of
U.S.-Saudi relations after September 11, and greater
tests are likely to come. The consequences of Americas
anticipated confrontation with Iraq, or of any decisive
action by Israel against Yasir Arafat, are difficult
to foresee. While Saudi Arabias present financial
conditions seem to preclude use of the "oil weapon"
in the near future, the kingdom could conceivably extend
its denial of basing rights to a denial of overflight
rights, seriously complicating an air war against Iraq.
Another move reportedly under discussion in Saudi Arabia
is to agree to an OPEC proposal switching the pricing
of oil from dollars to euros, a decision likely to have
significant effects on the value of the dollar.(127)
These possibilities cannot be dismissed lightly. Still,
neither side seems able to locate a meaningful alternative
to the other. The present crisis may well worsen, perhaps
even to the dimensions of 1973-1974, or even beyond,
given the absence of the Cold War framework. But the
bonds of over half a century were never those of fondness
or common outlook. Over the long term, the destiny of
the relationship appears to be guided, as ever, by the
relentless logic of energy and security in the hydrocarbon
age.
NOTES
1. Parker T. Hart, Saudi Arabia and the United States:
Birth of a Security Partnership (Bloomington, Indiana:
Indiana University Press, 1998), pp. 35-37. On the early
history of the relationship, see also Barry Rubin, The
Great Powers in the Middle East, 1941-1947 (London:
Frank Cass, 1981).
2. Crane was widely known and respected in the Arab
world for his role in the King-Crane Commission of 1919
and his personal opposition to both Zionism and the
establishment of the British and French mandates in
the Middle East. The 1931 trip was his third visit to
the kingdom. He was accompanied to Jidda by a translator,
George Antonius, whom he later supported in writing
The Arab Awakening, which was dedicated to its patron.
For a pithy assessment of Cranes involvement in
the Middle East, see Robert D. Kaplan, The Arabists:
Romance of an American Elite (New York: The Free Press,
1995), pp. 68-72.
3. Socal is now known as Chevron. Anthony Cave Brown,
Oil, God, and Gold: The Story of Aramco and the Saudi
Kings (Boston and New York: Houghton Mifflin Company,
1999), pp. 9-56; and Alexei Vassiliev, The History of
Saudi Arabia (New York: New York University Press, 2000),
pp. 316-17.
4. Until 1944, the operation was called the California-Arabian
Standard Oil Company (Casoc). Until 1936, Casoc was
a subsidiary of Socal; afterward, Socal and the Texas
Company (later Texaco) shared equal interests; two other
American companies later acquired shares as well. Vassiliev,
The History of Saudi Arabia, pp. 316-18.
5. The seemingly incommensurate gap in outlook has also
played a starring role in keeping the two sides apart.
A visitor to Aramcos fenced-off "company
town" in Dhahran during the 1960s "felt as
if I were inside an idealised America, like an old cover
of the Saturday Evening Post; an America untouched by
the turmoil of the sixties, by long hair or drugs, with
its citizens watching old movies on Aramco TV, playing
baseball or mending their cars." Anthony Sampson,
The Seven Sisters: The Great Oil Companies and the World
They Shaped (New York: Viking, 1975), p. 235, as cited
in Brown, Oil, God, and Gold, p. 268.
The cultural and psychological distance between Westerners
and Arabs, according to an American raised in the expatriate
business community in Jidda, led Americans living in
Saudi Arabia to embrace "the comfort of absolutism."
They split into "two distinct camps
those
who had too many Arab friends, and those who sat at
home and drank their illegal alcohol and bitched about
those damn sand niggers and ragheads." Kaplan,
The Arabists, p. 136.
American military personnel in particular have tended
to experience isolation while in Saudi Arabia. A recent
USMTM "newcomers guide" reads, in part,
"Tabuk is a very conservative Moslem community.
Rules, regulations, and laws are enforced in the strictest
manner. Although Westerners are generally welcome, they
are expected to conduct themselves in socially and religiously
acceptable ways. Preparing for service here means being
mentally prepared to accept the tenets and restrictions
of Islamic culture in the fullest sense. Because of
these restrictions, close comradeship develops between
USMTM members and other Westerners in the area. This
tour provides a great opportunity to complete self-study
programs such as PME [Professional Military Education],
etc., and also gives individuals a great chance to improve
personal physical fitness." Text from <http://globalsecurity.org/military/facility/tabuk.htm>.
Religious restrictions have proven especially onerous
for U.S. forces. During the early decades of the American
presence, Air Force chaplains were forbidden to wear
Christian insignia or hold formal services, and Jewish
personnel were admitted to the kingdom only on a dont-ask,
dont-tell basis. Hart, Saudi Arabia and the United
States, p. 85. During the Persian Gulf War, Bibles entered
the country on similar terms, and Jewish services were
held offshore. No alcohol was to be permitted to the
troops. Colin Powell with Joseph E. Persico, My American
Journey (New York: Random House, 1995), pp. 460-61.
6. The individual quoted was a member of a delegation
led by Everette Lee DeGolyer, a deputy to Secretary
of the Interior Harold Ickes in the Petroleum Administration
for War. Yergin, The Prize, p. 393.
7. George Bush and Brent Scowcroft, A World Transformed
(New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 1998), p. 330.
8. For the renegotiation of the Aramco concession in
1950, see Yergin, The Prize, pp. 445-49. For the introduction
of additional Saudi "participation" in 1974
and 1976, see ibid., pp. 651-52. The nationalization
process was completed in 1988 with the establishment
of "Saudi Aramco" as a Saudi-managed state
enterprise. See Ismail Nawwab, ed., Saudi Aramco and
Its World: Arabia And The Middle East (Houston, Texas:
Aramco Services Company, 1995), pp. 223-28; Brown, Oil,
God, and Gold, pp. 359-70.
9. Hart, Saudi Arabia and the United States, p. 38.
10. Brown, Oil, God, and Gold, p. 52. As it happened,
Aramco would play a singular role in the development
of the Eastern Province. See Brown, Oil, God, and Gold,
pp. 362-64; Nawwab, ed., Saudi Aramco and Its World,
pp. 202-68.
11. Hart, Saudi Arabia and the United States, p. 85-9.
12. Khaled bin Sultan, for example, relates King Fahds
sense that it would be unwise "to tie ourselves
to an alliance which was likely to arouse the hostility
of the Arab and Muslim world." HRH General Khaled
bin Sultan with Patrick Seale, Desert Warrior: A Personal
View of the Gulf War by the Joint Forces Commander (New
York: HarperCollins, 1995), p. 25.
13. As early as 1949, Dhahran Airfield served as part
of a globe-girdling series of aerial refueling stations
for Strategic Air Command, Americas nuclear-armed
long-range bomber force. Bruce D. Callander, "Lucky
Lady II," Air Force Magazine, Vol. 82 No. 2 (March
1999), p. 72.
14. In this case, it was American, not Saudi, reticence
that prevented the creation of a formal alliance. Nadav
Safran, Saudi Arabia: The Ceaseless Quest for Security
(Cambridge, Massachusetts: The Belknap Press of Harvard
University Press, 1985), pp. 64-67. For MAAG and USMTM,
see Brown, Oil, God, and Gold, p. 261. Since 1973, the
U.S. has also operated the Saudi Arabian National Guard
Modernization Program. See <http://www.opmsang.sppn.af.mil/History/History.htm>.
15. Safran, Saudi Arabia, pp. 77-82; Hart, Saudi Arabia
and the United States, pp. 64-9.
16. Safran, Saudi Arabia., pp. 88-92; Hart, Saudi Arabia
and the United States, pp. 82-87.
17. Hart, Saudi Arabia and the United States, 136-62.
18. As a measure of the importance of the new security
arrangements, the Saudis outlawed slavery at this time,
helping to make the relationship more palatable to Americans.
Ibid., pp. 192-229.
19. Safran, Saudi Arabia, pp. 96-97; Hart, Saudi Arabia
and the United States, pp. 210-33.
20. Hart, Saudi Arabia and the United States, pp. 300-03;
Don Oberdorfer, "Frustration Marks Saudi Ties to
U.S.," Washington Post, May 5, 1979.
21. Bob Woodward, The Commanders (New York: Simon &
Schuster, 1991), p. 240; Bush and Scowcroft, A World
Transformed, p. 325; Powell with Persico, My American
Journey, p. 452.
22. Steven V. Roberts, "Prop for U.S. Policy: Secret
Saudi Funds," New York Times, June 21, 1987. For
more aboveboard aid policies, see Thomas W. Lippman,
"Saudis Pledge $1 Billion Aid to Africa; Saudis
Pledge $1 Billion Aid At Afro-Arab Talks in Cairo,"
Washington Post, March 8, 1977.
23. Jonathan C. Randal, "Arabs Approve Multi-Billion
War Chest, Anti-Sadat Steps," Washington Post,
November 6, 1978; Edward Cody, "Sadat Says Saudis
Induced Arabs to Sever Relations," Washington Post,
May 2, 1979.
24. Jeff Gerth, "The White House Crisis; Evidence
Points to Big Saudi Role in Iranian and Contra Arms
Deals," New York Times, November 30, 1986; David
B. Ottaway, "Saudi Envoy Has Credibility Woes,"
Washington Post, February 28, 1987; Lawrence E. Walsh,
Firewall: The Iran-Contra Conspiracy and Cover-Up (New
York: W.W. Norton & Company, 1997), pp. 389-92.
25. An American officials comment from July 1967,
cited in Yergin, The Prize, p. 556.
26. The Saudi anti-Zionist policy appears not to have
been inevitable. In 1939, St. John Philby, accompanied
by Saudi deputy foreign minister Fuad Bey Hamza, proposed
to Zionist leaders Chaim Weizmann and Moshe Shertok
(later Sharett) that they pay Abd al-Aziz £20
million to be used to resettle Palestinian Arabs and
also support him as the ruler of a unified Arab statea
proposal strikingly similar in the latter respect to
Weizmanns abortive agreement with Emir Faisal
of Hijaz 20 years previously. Both Weizmann and Abd
al-Aziz remained neither committed nor openly opposed
to the "Philby Plan," until its namesake disregarded
Abd al-Azizs instructions not to divulge it to
anyone else. In 1943, after Harold Hoskins of the American
Office of Strategic Services (OSS) proposed that Abd
al-Aziz meet with Weizmann, the king wrote to President
Roosevelt, rejecting the "historic fallacies or
social and economic theories of the Zionists,"
asserting that an ages-old enmity between Muslims and
Jews was documented in the Quran, and moreover
proclaiming "a great personal enmity" between
himself and Weizmann, "owing to the criminal affront
which this person has committed against me by choosing
me from among all Arabs and Moslems to charge me with
a dastardly thingthat is that I should become
a traitor against my religion and my country."
Brown, Oil, God, and Gold, pp. 181-85. Timing had probably
been fatal to Philby Plans chances; by 1943, Saudi
oil exports, while still small, had grown to the point
that the kingdom was no longer dependent on a depressed
pilgrimage trade for its revenues. For the growth of
oil production and export revenues, see Vassiliev, The
History of Saudi Arabia, pp. 319-20, 401.
27. As a manifestation of American military and technological
mastery, the setting must have offered the desert ruler
a potent counterpoint to President Franklin D. Roosevelts
personal frailty, which in any case was largely matched
by his own at that time; the Saudi monarchs legs
were failing him. (Roosevelt made him a gift of his
spare wheelchair.) To judge by the outcome, in any event,
Abd al-Aziz held his own. Yergin, The Prize, pp. 403-5.
28. William A. Eddy, F.D.R. Meets Ibn Saud (New
York: American Friends of the Middle East, 1954), as
cited in Hart, Saudi Arabia and the United States, pp.
38-39.
29. Brown, Oil, God, and Gold, p. 188.
30. Specifically, he warned that he might be driven
"to apply sanctions against the American oil concessions
not because of his desire to do so but because the pressure
upon him of Arab public opinion was so great that he
could no longer resist it." Yergin, The Prize,
p. 426, and Brown, Oil, God, and Gold, pp. 193-94. That
pressure was evidently so great that the kingdom contributed
fighting men to the invasion of Israel, placing them
under Egyptian command. In October 1948, they fought
a fierce, close quarters engagement at close quarters
with Israels Givati Brigade at Huleiqat, near
Ashkelon. The Israelis prevailed. Chaim Herzog, The
Arab-Israeli Wars: War and Peace in the Middle East
from the War of Independence through Lebanon (New York:
Vintage Books, 1982), pp. 23, 48, 94.
31. The 1956 oil embargo against Britain and France
was ineffective until the United States threatened to
join it. Once the Europeans conceded, the U.S. was able
to overcome the effects of the Arab embargo by supplying
Britain and France directly. See Yergin, The Prize,
pp. 491-92.
32. Brown, Oil, God, and Gold, pp. 268-80.
33. Yergin, The Prize, pp. 554-58.
34. The lines of June 4, 1967. Facing attacks from Palestinian
radicals and the Soviet-backed Peoples Democratic
Republic of Yemen, Faisal was partial to theories about
a combined Zionist-Communist plot to seize control of
the Middle East. This countered any impression that
he had acquiesced to an American-backed Pax Israeliana.
Safran, Saudi Arabia, pp. 140-1.
35. Ibid.
36. Steven L. Spiegel, The Other Arab-Israeli Conflict:
Making Americas Middle East Policy, from Truman
to Reagan (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1985),
pp. 181-209.
37. Brown, Oil, God, and Gold, pp. 299-301.
38. Safran, Saudi Arabia, pp. 152-55.
39. Yergin, The Prize, pp. 595-97.
40. Safran, Saudi Arabia, p. 155. Based on equipment
captured during the subsequent fighting on the Golan
Heights, the Israelis concluded that the Saudis had
also contributed men and arms to the war effort. Herzog,
The Arab-Israeli Wars, p. 302.
41. Yergin, The Prize, pp. 598-606.
42. Ibid., pp. 606-17; Safran, Saudi Arabia, pp. 156-60.
43. Safran, Saudi Arabia, pp. 165-67.
44. In June 2000, a resurgent OPEC established a price
band of $22 to $28 per barrel, with the Saudis identifying
$25 as their desired target. Alfred B. Prados, "Saudi
Arabia: Current Issues and U.S. Relations," Congressional
Research Service, July 8, 2002, pp. 9-10. See also Nawaf
E. Obaid, The Oil Kingdom at 100: Petroleum Policymaking
in Saudi Arabia (Washington, DC: The Washington Institute
for Near East Policy, 2000), pp. 97-103. The oil price
hike of 1979 was an exception that appears to have been
aimed at accommodating a newly threatening Iran.
45. Prados, "Saudi Arabia: Current Issues and U.S.
Relations," pp. 7-8.
46. Anthony H. Cordesman, Saudi Arabia: Guarding the
Desert Kingdom (Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press, 1997),
p. 114.
47. Spiegel, The Other Arab-Israeli Conflict, pp. 308-10,
346-49, 398, 407-09.
48. Robin Allen, "Saudi Arabia Builds Defence of
the Realm," Financial Times, November 23, 1988.
49. Jim Mann, "Threat to Mideast Military Balance;
U.S. Caught Napping by Sino-Saudi Missile Deal,"
Los Angeles Times, May 4, 1988; Bernard Gwertzman, "Big
Missile Sale to Saudi Arabia Opposed by Key Congress
Panels," New York Times, April 24, 1986.
50. Khaled bin Sultan with Seale, Desert Warrior, pp.
143-5.
51. Bandar, who personified the U.S.-Saudi relationship
during the Reagan and first Bush administrations, was
well-known in Washington as "a specialist in out-of-channel
solutions and relationships," and enjoyed an unusual
degree of access to senior American figures. Woodward,
The Commanders, p. 213.
Fahds confidant since the late 1970s, Bandar had
been active in the AWACS and F-15 battles as an informal
go-between with Presidents Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan.
Fahd would charge Bandar with an assortment of special
and sensitive diplomatic tasks in an array of foreign
capitals, effectively making him an auxiliary foreign
minister. He was appointed ambassador in 1983, indicating
just how valuable the American connection had become
to Riyadh since the Iranian revolution. Situating such
a figure in Washington indicated the primacy of the
relationship among Saudi interests. David B. Ottaway,
"Been There, Done That: Prince Bandar, One of the
Great Cold Warriors, Faces the Yawn of a New Era,"
Washington Post, July 21, 1996.
One of Bandars later American counterparts would
describe his unorthodox modus operandi by an allusion
to the main doors to the Department of State: "Every
administration comes in determined to make Bandar do
the normal thing and come in the C Street entrance.
All have failed." Mark Matthews, " Prince
Still Charming, But
" Baltimore Sun, November
24, 1995.
52. Jim Mann, "Threat to Mideast Military Balance;
U.S. Caught Napping by Sino-Saudi Missile Deal,"
Los Angeles Times, May 4, 1988. Data on the DF-3A is
from the Federation of American Scientists; see <http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/theater/df-3a.htm>.
53. For the negotiations, see Khaled bin Sultan with
Seale, Desert Warrior, pp. 138-41. For the numbers and
characteristics of the missiles and launchers, see Cordesman,
Saudi Arabia, p. 179.
54. Mann, "Threat to Mideast Military Balance."
55. By the time the missiles were discovered, administration
had approved the sale of 24 additional F-15s. John M.
Goshko and Don Oberdorfer, "Chinese Sell Saudis
Missiles Capable of Covering Mideast," Washington
Post, March 18, 1988.
56. Khaled bin Sultan with Seale, Desert Warrior, pp.
150-51. Introducing some ambiguity, the author also
describes the missiles, inter alia, as "a deterrent
weapon not intended to be used, except as a last resort
when it should be able to demoralize the enemy by delivering
a painful and decisive blow." Ibid., p. 145.
57. By his own account, Assistant Secretary of Defense
for International Security Affairs Richard Armitage
fumed at Bandar, saying, "I want to congratulate
you. This is the law of unintended consequences. You
have put Saudi Arabia squarely in the targeting package
of the Israelis. You are now number one on the Israeli
hit parade. If the balloon goes up anywhere in the Middle
East, youre going to get hit first." Quoted
in James Mann, About Face: A History of Americas
Curious Relationship with China, from Nixon to Clinton
(New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 1999), pp. 169-70. Armitages
words were underscored by hints from the Israelis, in
word and deed, that they might soon decide to attack
the missile sites. The Americans interceded with the
Israelis against this possibility. David B. Ottaway,
"Talk of Israeli Raid on Saudi Missiles Concerns
U.S.," Washington Post, March 23, 1988; George
C. Wilson and David B. Ottaway, "Saudi-Israeli
Tensions Worry U.S.; Bombing Practice May Presage Attack
On Missiles in Arabia," Washington Post, March
25, 1988; John H. Cushman, Jr., "Reagan Urges Israeli
Restraint on Saudi Missiles," New York Times, March
26, 1988. For Congressional demands, see Elaine Sciolino,
"U.S. Replacing Its Envoy to Saudis," New
York Times, April 2, 1988; and Elaine Sciolino, "Congress
Is Formally Notified of Big Saudi Weapons Deal,"
New York Times, April 28, 1988.
58. Sciolino, "U.S. Replacing Its Envoy to Saudis."
The Saudis had regarded Horan with disfavor since his
appointment the previous September. For American and
Saudi accounts, respectively, of some of the underlying
reasons for his removal, see Kaplan, The Arabists, pp.
232-33, and Khaled bin Sultan with Seale, Desert Warrior,
p. 137 and 151. See also Robert G. Kaiser and David
Ottaway, "Oil for Security Fueled Close Ties; But
Major Differences Led to Tensions," Washington
Post, February 11, 2002.
59. Jim Hoagland, "The Turtle Snaps Back,"
Washington Post, April 13, 1988.
60. Sciolino, "Congress Is Formally Notified of
Big Saudi Weapons Deal." Some concern remains that
Saudi Arabia, like its neighbors, may be seeking to
acquire nuclear weapons, apparently by purchase rather
than indigenous development. See Richard L. Russell,
"A Saudi Nuclear Option?" Survival, Vol. 43,
No. 2 (Summer 2001), pp. 69-79.
61. Youssef M. Ibrahim, "Saudis Reaffirm a Right
to Vary Arms Dealings," New York Times, July 28,
1988.
62. John Lancaster and John Mintz, "U.S.-Saudi
Agreement Is Reached on $9.2 Billion Arms Purchase Stretchout,"
Washington Post, February 1, 1994.
63. Richard F. Grimmett, "Conventional Arms Transfers
to Developing Nations, 1994-2001," Congressional
Research Service, August 6, 2002, pp. 28-9.
64. The Spanish press has announced a $1.5 billion contract
for tanks, transport aircraft, and other arms. "Spain
to supply Saudi Arabia with arms," United Press
International, June 30, 2002.
65. Like other Arab states, Saudi Arabia has been hamstrung
by a tendency to conceive of defense in terms of advanced
weaponry rather than less tangible and less readily
attainable "force multipliers." See Norvell
De Atkine, "Why Arabs Lose Wars," Middle East
Quarterly, Vol. 6, No. 4 (December 1999).
66. Woodward, The Commanders, p. 270.
67. By early in Clintons second term, Bandar acknowledged
having gotten off on the wrong foot with the new president,
spending less time in the American capital than before,
and experiencing boredom in the post-Cold War environment.
Ottaway, "Been There, Done That."
In the view of one Washington journalist, the ambassador
had become chairman of "the Persian Gulf War Boys
Club
always quick to offer Bush pere and other
club members a private jet ride or a British hunting
jaunt or a junket at his Aspen mansionto which
he transported a British pub he had dismantled."
Maureen Dowd, "This Dynasty Stuff," New York
Times, May 1, 2002.
68. Douglas Jehl, "The Wisdom of a Saudi King:
Choosing an Heir to the Realm of Abdel Aziz," New
York Times, May 24, 1999.
69. For Abdullahs role, see Susan Sachs, "Saudi
Heir Urges Reform, and Turn From U.S.," New York
Times, December 4, 2000. Especially after September
11, 2001, Bandars status increasingly came into
question in Washington: "Reports of a rift between
the straight-laced Abdullah and his more westernized
and pro-U.S. relatives in high positions have been fueled
recently by the unexplained, weeks-long absence from
Washington of Prince Bandar bin Sultan, the Saudi ambassador
to the United States
Depending on whom one talks
to, he is either seriously out of favor
with Abdullah and lying low in Europe, recovering from
an illness, or engaged in high-level consultations in
Riyadh." Karen DeYoung, "Saudis Seethe Over
Media Reports on Anti-Terror Effort," Washington
Post, November 6, 2001.
70. Steven Lee Myers, "At a Saudi Base, U.S. Digs
In, Gingerly, for a Longer Stay," New York Times,
December 27, 1997; Howard Schneider, "In the Arabian
Desert, U.S. Troops Settle In; Temporary Deployment
Has Permanent Feel," Washington Post, May 3, 2001.
71. Lawrence Wright, "The Counter-Terrorist,"
The New Yorker, January 14, 2002.
72. According to one account, some U.S. officials briefly
gave consideration to assassinating bin Ladin at this
time. Barton Gellman, "U.S. Was Foiled Multiple
Times in Efforts To Capture Bin Laden or Have Him Killed;
Sudans Offer to Arrest Militant Fell Through After
Saudis Said No," Washington Post, October 3, 2001.
73. Some reports have alleged that Saudi intelligence
minister Turki bin Faisal, who managed the Taliban account,
paid off bin Ladin to secure the kingdoms flanks.
Seymour Hersh, "Kings Ransom," The New
Yorker, October 22, 2001; Nick Fielding, "Saudis
paid Bin Laden £200m," Sunday Times, August
25, 2002.
74. For Saudi efforts, see Ahmed Rashid, Taliban (New
Haven: Yale University Press, 2001), pp. 138-39; and
interview with Turki bin Faisal, as cited in F. Gregory
Gause III, "Be Careful What You Wish For: The Future
of U.S.-Saudi Relations," World Policy Journal,
Spring 2002, Vol. 19, No. 1, pp. 37-49. For American
efforts, see David B. Ottaway and Joe Stephens, "Diplomats
Met With Taliban on Bin Laden; Some Contend U.S. Missed
Its Chance," Washington Post, October 29, 2001.
75. Alan Cullison and Andrew Higgins, "A Once-Stormy
Terror Alliance Was Solidified by Cruise Missiles,"
Wall Street Journal, August 2, 2002.
76. The Saudi government cut off funding to the PLO
following Yasir Arafats decision to support to
Iraq in 1990. Some accounts allege that Riyadh has since
provided financial support to Hamas, a violent Islamist
Palestinian rejectionist organization responsible for
a series of terrorist attacks in Israel and the occupied
territories during the 1990s. Jeremy Kahn, "Saudi
diplomat seeks asylum," Financial Times, June 15,
1994; Mark Matthews, "Saudis shown to aid terror,
Israel alleges," Baltimore Sun, May 7, 2002; Herb
Keinon, "Livnat puts Saudis on defensive,"
Jerusalem Post, May 8, 2002.
77. Elaine Sciolino, "Out Front: A Desert Kingdom
Takes the Spotlight," New York Times, March 3,
2002.
78. The Voter News Service (VNS) national exit poll
found 79% of Jewish respondents to have voted for Gore,
the same proportion that voted for Bill Clinton in 1996.
George Edmonson, Cox News Service, "One Nation
Evenly Divisible; The Razor-Thin Election Day Margin
Still Reveals Some Huge Gaps," Pittsburgh Post-Gazette,
December 14, 2000.
79. For the debate, see Rachel Donadio, "GOP Woos
Arabs, Hawks as Middle East Crisis Puts Democrats on
Defensive," Forward, October 20, 2000.
According to a Zogby International poll, 45.5% voted
for Bush, 38% for Democrat Al Gore, and 13.5% for Ralph
Nader of the Green Party, an Arab-American. An estimated
390,000 Arab voters moved from the Democratic into the
Republican column between 1996 and 2000. "Almost
half of those Democrats who abandoned Gore said that
their decision to do so was influenced by the presence
of Senator Joseph Lieberman on the Democratic ticket."
James Zogby, "How Arab Americans voted and why,"
Jordan Times, December 19, 2000. According to a newspaper
account, 72% of respondents to a national survey of
Muslims conducted by the Council on Islamic-American
Relations (CAIR) reported voting for Bush; 85% of these
mentioned being influenced by Muslim political organizations
endorsement of the Republican candidate. See Caryle
Murphy, "Muslims See New Clouds Of Suspicion; Mideast
Backlash Cited As Ramadan Fasts Begin," Washington
Post, November 27, 2000.
The Bush administration also seemed at first to embrace
this alignment, built around a "diversity cabinet"
that, once completed, included two African-Americans,
one Hispanic, two Asian-Americans, three women, and
an Arab-American (former Senator Spencer Abraham of
Michigan), but no Jewsin the last area, a striking
departure from the choices of the previous administration.
80. When asked whether the U.S. had requested Saudi
permission or even informed Riyadh of the raid beforehand,
Rear Admiral Craig Quigley replied, "Not that Im
aware of, no." See official transcript at <http://www.defenselink.mil/news/Feb2001/t02162001_t216iraq.html>.
For Bushs response, see Thomas E. Ricks, "American,
British Jets Hit 5 Antiaircraft Sites in Iraq; Baghdad
Area Bombed in Biggest Airstrike in 2 Years," Washington
Post, February 18, 2001.
81. Jane Perlez, "Bush Senior, on His Sons
Behalf, Reassures Saudi Leader," New York Times,
July 15, 2001; Elaine Sciolino with Eric Schmitt, "U.S.
Rethinks Its Role in Saudi Arabia," New York Times,
March 10, 2002.
82. Prados, "Saudi Arabia: Current Issues and U.S.
Relations," p. 4.
83. For a survey of Saudi demographic, social, and economic
issues, see Cordesman, Saudi Arabia, pp. 31-76. For
one of many analyses of the "al-Jazirah effect,"
see Sharon Waxman, "Arab TVs Strong Signal:
The al-Jazeera Network Offers News the Mideast Never
Had Before, and Views That Are All Too Common,"
Washington Post, December 4, 2001. For an account of
Saudi internet access, usage, and restrictions, see
Joshua Teitelbaum, "Dueling for Dawa: State
vs. Society on the Saudi Internet," Middle East
Journal, Spring 2002, Vol. 56, No. 2, pp. 222-239.
84. Sachs, "Saudi Heir Urges Reform, and Turn From
U.S."
85. The previous October, the Arab League had pledged
$800 million to preserve the "Arab and Islamic
identity of Jerusalem," plus another $200 million
for families of Palestinians killed in the fighting.
How much of this money was ever disbursed is unclear.
Yasir Arafat reportedly received $45 million during
a July 2001 visit to Saudi Arabia, which may have counted
against the $225 pledged in April. Prados, "Saudi
Arabia: Current Issues and U.S. Relations," p.
6.
86. Jane Perlez, "Mitchell Report on Mideast Violence
May Thaw the Ice; U.S. Gingerly Discusses Taking More
Active Role," New York Times, May 17, 2001.
87. The extent to which the Saudi leadership was drawn
into the loop of the Israeli-Palestinian problem, or
was perceived to have been, was illustrated by an account
alleging that Gaza Preventive Security Chief Muhammad
Dahlan, having come under fire from Israeli troops on
April 5, 2001, complained to Arafat, who called Crown
Prince Abdullah, who called Prince Bandar, who phoned
Vice President Cheney, quickly spurring a call from
Secretary of State Powell to Prime Minister Sharon.
Janine Zacharia, "The road to Mecca - via Washington,"
Jerusalem Post, June 22, 2001.
88. According to one of the sources, the current President
Bush was present in the room at the time of the call.
Jane Perlez, "Bush Senior, on His Sons Behalf,
Reassures Saudi Leader," New York Times, July 15,
2001.
89. The letter came to light publicly months later,
when Abdullah read it to a group of 150 prominent Saudis,
apparently indicating to them that Saudi protests had
effected some of the desired changes in American policy
toward Israel. James M. Dorsey, "Saudi Leader Warns
US of Separate Interests," Wall Street
Journal, October 29, 2001. By Bandars account,
the letter was Abdullahs impassioned and spontaneous
response to an answer given by President Bush during
a press conference on August 24, 2001. Robert G. Kaiser
and David Ottaway, "Saudi Leaders Anger Revealed
Shaky Ties," Washington Post, February 10, 2002.
A transcript of the presidential press conference is
available at <http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2001/08/20010824.html>.
By another account, the letter was delivered in early
September. See Sulayman Nimr, article in Al-Hayat, November
6, 2001, translated by FBIS.
90. Kaiser and Ottaway, "Saudi Leaders Anger
Revealed Shaky Ties."
91. Elaine Sciolino and Patrick E. Tyler, "Saudi
Charges Bush With Failure To Broker Mideast Peace,"
New York Times, November 9, 2001.
92. "We are the country with high credibility with
all parties in the Arab and Islamic worlds. Maybe we
are also the one qualified to persuade all concerned
to come to the peace table. But we cannot play this
role
while Israel continually frustrates every
peace initiative." Roula Khalaf, "Regal reformer:
Crown Prince Abdullah, regent to Saudi Arabias
King Fahd, has spearheaded diplomatic and economic change,"
Financial Times, June 25, 2001.
93. Thomas L. Friedman, "An Intriguing Signal From
the Saudi Crown Prince," New York Times, February
17, 2002. The Saudi peace initiative appeared again
four days later, once more on the opinion page of the
New York Times. Henry Siegman, a specialist in the Middle
East peace process and inter-religious relations at
the Council on Foreign Relations, formerly the longtime
executive director of the American Jewish Congress,
wrote that the Crown Prince had communicated a similar
idea to him two years previously, in response to Siegmans
own private challenge. Siegman further related that
he had recently spoken with anonymous Saudi officials,
who expressed their willingness to accept an Israeli
withdrawal to the June 4, 1967 lines, and significantly,
would allow for minor border alterations. Henry Siegman,
"Will Israel Take a Chance?" New York Times,
February 21, 2002.
In a subsequent interview, Siegman indicated that this
conversation had taken place at his own initiative.
Marc Perelman, "Saudi Plan Gets Boost From Dove,
Columnist: U.S. Jews Carry Riyadh Message," Forward,
March 1, 2002. Perelman also describes former ambassadors
Chas Freeman, Jr. and James Akins as having heard the
same proposal from Abdullah privately.
Ghazi al-Qusaybi, Saudi Ambassador to the United Kingdom,
in an article published in Al-Sharq Al-Awsat on February
19, 2002, recounted Abdullahs many "contacts
with US envoys and messengers from the Western and friendly
states worldwide," all of whom supposedly asked
the Crown Prince to offer assurances to the Israeli
people that a peace agreement would not threaten their
countrys existence. (FBIS translation.)
94. Thomas L. Friedman, "Dear Arab League,"
New York Times, February 6, 2002.
95. Michael R. Gordon, "Bush Plans Talks With Saudi
Prince on Mideast Plan," New York Times, March
18, 2002.
96. The official Saudi Press Agency carried the full
text of Friedmans column the next day; see "SPA
Carries Text of Saudi Crown Princes
NY Times Remarks on Ties With Israel," FBIS transcription.
(See also "End occupation for ties, Abdullah tells
Israel," Arab News, February 18, 2002.) Friedman
was known as both a critic of Saudi Arabia and a Jewish
journalist; one Saudi observer described the domestic
response to the announcement through his column as "confusion
and antagonism." Nawaf Obaid, "The Israeli
Flag in Riyadh?" Washington Post, March 2, 2002.
Friedmans account was also cited in a February
18 editorial in Ukaz, a daily newspaper published in
Jidda. Ukaz, apparently clarifying the Crown Princes
intentions for the home audience, emphasized that the
burden of peacemaking remained on Israel: "This
is the kind of peace we would accept, but not while
Sharon escalates his unprecedented violence and oppression
of the Palestinian people. Not with surrender and submission
to Israeli conniving plans, dictations, conditions,
and plans whether from a government by the Likud, Labor,
or any other party. Not while denying the legitimate
rights of the Palestinian people, who have sacrificed
so much throughout their struggle. Not by making concessions
on Jerusalem and Al-Aqsa Mosque, which is the key issue
of the Kingdom and the Arab and Islamic worlds."
(FBIS translation.)
The peace initiative was not intended as an opening
to direct negotiations with Israel. See Barry Schweid,
Associated Press, "Abdullahs Peace Plan Called
a Vision," USA Today, February 27, 2002; William
Orme, "Saudi Ambassador Berates Israel Before U.N.
Council," Los Angeles Times, February 28, 2002.
97. It drew an immediate dismissal from the Israeli
Foreign Ministry on the same grounds: "We
cannot accept the right of return. It would mean a situation
where there are two Palestinian states, foreign
ministry spokesman Emmanuel Nachshon told AFP."
Agence France Presse, "Arab initiative is indivisible:
Saud al-Faisal," March 28, 2002. The text of the
Beirut Declaration is available at <http://www.saudiembassy.net/press_release/statements/02-ST-0328-Beirut.htm>.
For the Palestinian response, see Voice of Palestine,
March 26, 2002, FBIS translation.
98. Neil MacFarquhar, "As Arabs Seethe, Saudi Says
Uprising Will Go On," New York Times, March 30,
2002; Neil MacFarquhar, "Anger in the Streets Is
Exerting Pressure On Arab Moderates," New York
Times, April 3, 2002; Serge Schmemann, "Israel
Persisting With Sweep Despite U.S. Calls," New
York Times, April 8, 2002. For U.S. intervention with
Israel over Arafats fate, see Tracy Wilkinson,
"Israel Asks: Is It Time For Arafat To Leave?"
Los Angeles Times, April 25, 2002.
99. In an op-ed article appearing in the Washington
Post, Prince Bandar declared that "[i]t makes no
sense to ask President Yasser Arafat, who was elected
by the Palestinian people and who is currently under
siege inside two rooms, to stop the violence in the
occupied territories while the Israeli forces destroy
his security apparatus and kill and detain his security
officers." Bandar bin Sultan, "Why Israel
Must Stop The Terror," Washington Post, April 5,
2002. Also see Patrick E. Tyler, "New Strategy
Set By U.S. And Saudis For Mideast Crisis," New
York Times, May 1, 2002; "Saudi-Egyptian-Jordanian
Move To Exert Pressure on Arafat To Reform Authority,
End Resistance," Al-Quds al-Arabi, May 2, 2002,
FBIS translation; Zeev Schiff, "Analysis
/ Saudi pressure on Arafat has failed," Haaretz
in English, May 26, 2002.
100. Bassem Mroue, "Senior Iraqi embraces Saudi
crown prince at Arab summit," Associated Press,
"March 28, 2002.
101. "It is a mistake to think that our people
will not do what is necessary to survive, the
person close to the crown prince said, and if
that means we move to the right of bin Laden, so be
it; to the left of Qaddafi, so be it; or fly to Baghdad
and embrace Saddam like a brother, so be it. Its
damned lonely in our part of the world, and we can no
longer defend our relationship to our people.
The person close to Abdullah pointed out that
Saudi Arabia's recent assurances that it would use its
surplus oil-producing capacity to blunt the effects
of Saddam Hussein's 30-day suspension of Iraqi oil exports
could quickly change." Patrick E. Tyler, "Saudi
to Warn Bush of Rupture Over Israel Policy," New
York Times, April 25, 2002. See also Howard Schneider,
"Saudi Crown Prince To Carry Warning To Visit With
Bush; U.S.-Israeli Alliance Frustrating Arab Leaders,"
Washington Post, April 24, 2002.
102. Elisabeth Bumiller, "Saudi Tells Bush U.S.
Must Temper Backing of Israel," New York Times,
April 26, 2002; Patrick E. Tyler, "Saudi Proposes
Mideast Action Led by U.S.," New York Times, April
27, 2002.
103. James Bennett with Elisabeth Bumiller, "Israelis
Approve Plan To End Siege and Free Arafat," New
York Times, April 29, 2002.
104. Neil MacFarquhar, "Saudis Support Bush's Policy
but Say It Lacks Vital Details," New York Times,
June 27, 2002; interview with Intelligence Minister
Nawaf bin Abd al-Aziz published in Al Sharq Al Awsat,
June 29, FBIS translation.
105. Cameron S. Brown, "The Shot Seen Around the
World: The Middle East Reacts to September 11th,"
MERIA Journal, December 2001, Vol. 5, No. 4.
106. For oil price stabilization, see David B. Ottaway
and Robert G. Kaiser, "After Sept. 11, Severe Tests
Loom for Relationship," Washington Post, February
12, 2002. For severing ties with the Taliban, see, Neil
MacFarquhar, "Saudis Criticize the Taliban And
Halt Diplomatic Ties," New York Times, September
26, 2001. Other immediate steps taken by the Saudis
are described in Prados, "Saudi Arabia: Current
Issues and U.S. Relations," p. 4.
107. Howard Schneider, "Saudis Suspect Al Qaeda
Plot Against U.S. Military, Arrest 13," Washington
Post, June 13, 2002; Eric Schmitt, "Sudanese Says
He Fired Missile At U.S. Warplane," New York Times,
June 14, 2002.
108. Roula Khalaf, "Riyadh fears the fallout from
war," Financial Times, October 8, 2001.
109. For example, Secretary of State Colin Powell characterized
the Saudis as being "very responsive to all the
requests we have placed on them," adding, "I
don't want to go into what we have not yet asked of
them." Tom Bowman, "Transportation, staging
areas for troops at issue," Baltimore Sun, September
24, 2001.
110. Eric Schmitt and Michael R. Gordon, "Top Air
Chief Sent," New York Times, September 21, 2002;
Vernon Loeb and Dana Priest, "Saudis Balk at U.S.
Use of Key Facility; Powell Seeks Reversal of Policy;
Refusal Could Delay Airstrikes at Terrorists,"
Washington Post, September 22, 2001; Patrick E. Tyler,
"Saudis Feeling Pain of Supporting U.S.,"
New York Times, September 24, 2001; Roula Khalaf, "Saudi
Arabia denies agreeing to aid strikes: Foreign minister
Prince Saud al-Feisal says the US has not asked for
military support," Financial Times, October 1,
2001; Thomas E. Ricks, "Rumsfeld Confident Of Use
of Saudi Bases; Royal Family Appears to Signal Assent,"
Washington Post, October 4, 2001; William Arkin, "Our
Saudi Friends," washingtonpost.com,
May 6, 2002, <http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A39553-2002May6>.
111. Neil MacFarquhar, "Saudis Reject U.S. Accusation
They Balked on Terror Money," New York Times, October
14, 2001; Linda Robinson, Peter Cary, Edward T. Pound,
Megan Barnett, Lisa Griffin, and Randy Dotinga, "Princely
Payments," U.S. News & World Report, January
14, 2002; Jimmy Burns, "Tracking of terror funds
undermined," Financial Times, June
10, 2002.
112. Hugh Pope, "War Of Words Between U.S., Saudi
Media Heightens Tensions In The Crucial Alliance,"
Wall Street Journal, November 21, 2001. For an example,
see "Reconsidering Saudi Arabia," editorial,
New York Times, October 14, 2001.
113. Notable in this vein was a series of columns by
Colbert King of the Washington Post, proposing a boycott
of American firms that acquiesced in a Saudi policy
of "sexual apartheid." See, for instance,
Colbert I. King, "Saudi Arabias Apartheid,"
Washington Post, December 22, 2001. Nayif preached agnosticism
for months after the attacks: "So far, weve
received no evidence or documents from the American
authorities that justify the suspicion or accusations
raised against Saudi Arabian citizens." Howard
Schneider, "Man on Bin Laden Tape Now Said to Be
Guerilla," Washington Post, December 18, 2001.
For the fundraising event, see Neil MacFarquhar, "No
Jerry Lewis, but Saudi Telethon Reaches Goal,"
New York Times, November 9, 2001.
114. Patrick Tyler, "Fearing Harm, Bin Laden Kin
Fled From U.S.," New York Times, September 30,
2001.
115. Susan Schmidt, "Sept. 11 Families Join to
Sue Saudis; Banks, Charities and Royals Accused Of Funding
al Qaeda Terrorist Network," New York Times, August
16, 2002.
116. John Mintz, "Most Detainees Are Saudis, Prince
Says; Return to Kingdom Is Sought; Bush Pledges Case-by-Case
Decisions," Washington Post, January 29, 2002.
117. "Summer vacationers shun the U.S.," Arab
News, February 15, 2002; Robin Allen, "Banks
deposits hit by anti-US protests,"
Financial Times, May 24, 2002; Scott Peterson, "Saudis
channel anger into charity," Christian Science
Monitor, May 30, 2002; Roula Khalaf, "Saudi investors
pull out billions of dollars from US: Move signals deep
alienation following September 11," Financial Times,
August 21, 2002.
118. Howard Schneider, "Bombing in Saudi City Kills
American; Monarchy Braces for Eruption of Popular Dissent
Against U.S.," Washington Post, October 7, 2001;
Robin Allen and Roula Khalaf, "Saudi car bomb kills
British banker: Explosion in Riyadh heightens fears
for safety of foreigners in Osama bin Ladens home
country," Financial Times, June 21, 2002.
119. Elaine Sciolino, "Taking a Rare Peek Inside
the Royal House of Saud," New York Times, January
28, 2002. This view was also shared and promoted by
leading religious figures. In an example from a Friday
sermon in Meccas Grand Mosque, Shaikh Abd al-Rahman
Al-Sudais was quoted as saying, "The mask of the
Western media has now been removed. It is quite evident
that most of the news agencies and satellite television
channels are controlled by Zionist organizations, and
are dummies in the hands of the Zionist lobby."
"Smear campaign unmasks Zionist designs: Sudais,"
Arab News, February 2, 2002. Other examples include
Sulayman Nimr, article in Al-Hayat, November 6, 2001,
FBIS translation; "Words to the Arabs and Deeds
to Israel," editorial in Abha al-Watan, November
11, 2001, FBIS translation; Karen DeYoung, "Saudis
Seethe Over Media Reports on Anti-Terror Effort,"
Washington Post, November 6, 2001; Marc Perelman, "Defensive
Saudis Lash Out at Zionist and U.S. Critics,"
Forward, December, 28, 2001; Michael Slackman, "Troubled
Current Under Surface of U.S.-Saudi Ties," Los
Angeles Times, February 3, 2002; "Saudi Defense
Minister: Yarmulke-Wearing Congressmen to Blame for
Media Attacks on Saudi Arabia," Middle East Media
Research Institute, Special Dispatch Series No. 396,
July 2, 2002.
The Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI), a
privately funded Washington-based organization headed
by former Israeli military intelligence official Yigal
Carmon, has drawn particular criticism from Saudi and
other Arab writers. MEMRIs translations of inflammatory
rhetoric in leading Arabic-language periodicals and
broadcasts have attracted special attention after September
11, drawing mentions from U.S. Congressmen, editorialists,
and columnists. "This same [Western] press has
succumbed to the influence of the Washington-based pro-Israel
organization that translates the Arab press into English,
the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI). Muslims
feel that if Arab Muslims established a group in the
United States to show the hatred published against the
Arabs, they would be accused of anti-Semitism. Thus
we see a concerted campaign against anything organized
for the Muslims anywhere in the world and we all know
who is behind this campaign." Khaled Al-Maeena,
"Friends, not masters," Arab News, February
2, 2002.
120. Judy Sarasohn, "Saudi Arabia a Fascinating
Client for Qorvis," Washington Post, March
21, 2002; Bob Deans, "Saudi Arabia: Media, diplomacy
enlisted to improve kingdoms image," Atlanta
Journal and Constitution, April 27, 2002; "Saudi
Arabia Spends $3.8M at Qorvis," ODwyers
PR <http://www.odwyerpr.com/0516qorvis.htm>; Eli
Kintisch, "Top D.C. Lobbyists Facing Heat Over
Saudi Ads," Forward, May 31, 2002; Christopher
Marquis, "Worried Saudis Try To Improve Image In
The U.S.," New York Times, August 29, 2002.
121. Janine Zacharia, "Michael Jordan
of Saudi diplomacy leading PR full-court press,"
Jerusalem Post, November 11, 2001; Marquis, "Worried
Saudis Try To Improve Image In The U.S."
122. Vanessa OConnell, "Advertising: Veteran
Beers Helps US Craft Its Message," Wall Street
Journal, October 15, 2001; Elizabeth Becker, "In
the War on Terrorism, A Battle to Shape Opinion,"
New York Times, November 11, 2001; Elizabeth Becker
and James Dao, "Bush Will Keep the Wartime Operation
Promoting America," New York Times, February 20,
2002; James Dao, "Panel Urges U.S. to Revamp Efforts
to Promote Image Abroad." New York Times, July
29, 2002; Bill Carter, "Hollywood Group Offers
First TV Spot on Tolerance Aimed at Arab World,"
New York Times, September 5, 2002.
123. The last such tape aired in late December, 2001.
James Risen, "A Gaunt bin Laden on New Tape,"
New York Times, December 27, 2001.
124. David B. Ottaway and Robert G. Kaiser, "Saudis
May Seek U.S. Exit; Military Presence Seen as Political
Liability in Arab World," Washington Post, January
18, 2002; Bradley Graham and Thomas E. Ricks, "Contingency
Plan Shifts Saudi Base To Qatar; U.S. Wants to Lessen
Dependence on Riyadh," Washington Post, April 6,
2002.
125. "The document envisions tens of thousands
of marines and soldiers probably invading from Kuwait.
Hundreds of warplanes based in as many as eight countries,
possibly including Turkey and Qatar, would unleash a
huge air assault... Any mention of using bases in Saudi
Arabia, from which the United States staged the bulk
of the airstrikes in the gulf war, is conspicuously
missing from the document, said an official familiar
with the briefing slides. The United States would need
permission to use Saudi airspace adjacent to Iraq, if
not Saudi bases themselves, officials said." Eric
Schmitt, "U.S. Plan for Iraq Is Said To Include
Attack on 3 Sides," New York Times, July 5, 2002.
126. Thomas E. Ricks, "Briefing Depicted Saudis
as Enemies; Ultimatum Urged to Pentagon Board,"
Washington Post, August 6, 2002; Donna Abu-Nasr, Associated
Press, "Saudis: Dont Attack Iraq From Here,"
August 7, 2002.
127. Roula Khalaf, "A troubled friendship,"
Financial Times, August 22, 2002.
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Josh Pollack is a Washington, DC-based defense consultant.
All views herein are the author's own, and should not
be attributed to others. His recent work includes "Afghanistan's
Missing Peace," published in January 2002 in Current
Defense Analyses.
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